Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41245744›Full record

ArticleAJPM focus2026

Comparison of Benefit-to-Burden Ratios for Stool-Based Colorectal Cancer Screening Tests in the U.S.: A Decision Analytical Modeling Approach.

John B Kisiel, A Mark Fendrick, Derek W Ebner, Michael Dore, Chris Estes, Vahab Vahdat, A Burak Ozbay, Paul J Limburg

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AJPM focus, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

John B KisielDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
A Mark FendrickDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Derek W EbnerDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Michael DoreDepartment of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina.
Chris EstesExact Sciences Corporation, Madison, Wisconsin.
Vahab VahdatExact Sciences Corporation, Madison, Wisconsin.
A Burak OzbayExact Sciences Corporation, Madison, Wisconsin.
Paul J LimburgExact Sciences Corporation, Madison, Wisconsin.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommends average-risk colorectal cancer screening beginning at age 45 years with the multitarget stool DNA test at 1-3-year intervals or annual fecal immunochemical tests. In this decision analytical model study, the validated Colorectal Cancer Adenoma Incidence and Mortality model incorporated updated aggregate test performance data to estimate the benefit-to-burden ratio of stool-based screening tests across recommended intervals and age ranges and identify the efficient strategies. Methods: Screening strategies of multitarget stool DNA or fecal immunochemical tests at 1-3-year intervals over various age ranges were evaluated for average-risk individuals in the U.S. Performance inputs for an updated marker panel (next-generation multitarget stool DNA) and fecal immunochemical tests were obtained from a meta-analysis. The primary analysis was an efficient frontier generated for life-years gained (benefit) compared with no screening versus the number of lifetime colonoscopies (burden) for each screening strategy. Strategies are efficient if no other strategy provides more life-years gained with equivalent or fewer colonoscopies and are near efficient if they are within 3 days of life-years gained of the efficient frontier. Results: All screening strategies resulted in positive life-years gained versus no screening (178-352 life-years gained/1,000 individuals). Nine of the 11 efficient strategies started screening at age 45 years. Triennial next-generation multitarget stool DNA between ages 45 and 75 years was the only stool-screening strategy at U.S. Preventive Services Task Force-recommended ages and intervals that was efficient. Recommended strategies of annual fecal immunochemical tests and annual next-generation multitarget stool DNA between ages 45 and 75 years were near efficient. Conclusions: Performance advantages associated with triennial next-generation multitarget stool DNA from ages 45 to 75 years provided the best benefit to burden of the age- and interval-recommended stool-based screening strategies.

Indexed as

Colorectal Cancer-Adenoma Incidence and Mortality (CRC-AIM) modelefficient frontierfecal immunochemical testmicrosimulationMultitarget stool DNA

Identifiers

PMID41245744
PMCPMC12613005

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.