Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41240157›Full record

SynthesisInternational ophthalmology2025

The application of artificial intelligence-based algorithms in predicting the progression of keratoconus: a systematic review.

Hassan Hashemi, Alireza Jamali, Payam Nabovati, Farshid Babapour Mofrad, Mehdi Khabazkhoob

Abstract readSystematic Review
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in International ophthalmology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hassan HashemiNoor Ophthalmology Research Center, Noor Eye Hospital, Tehran, Iran. hhashemi@noorvision.com.
Alireza JamaliRehabilitation Research Center, Department of Optometry, School of Rehabilitation Sciences, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Payam NabovatiRehabilitation Research Center, Department of Optometry, School of Rehabilitation Sciences, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Farshid Babapour MofradDepartment of Medical Radiation Engineering, SR.C., Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
Mehdi KhabazkhoobDepartment of Medical Surgical Nursing, School of Nursing and Midwifery, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo conduct a systematic review of studies examining the use of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms in predicting the progression of keratoconus (KCN).

methodsA comprehensive review was conducted using PubMed, Google Scholar, and ScienceDirect, focusing on keywords related to AI and KCN progression. Only studies published in English that applied AI algorithms to evaluate changes in KCN were included. The QUADAS-2 tool was used to assess the risk of bias and the overall quality of the studies. A narrative qualitative synthesis approach was employed to summarize and interpret the findings.

resultsA total of ten studies involving 10,940 eyes were analyzed to evaluate the progression of KCN using various AI models, including machine learning and deep learning techniques. Most of these models demonstrated moderate to high discriminative ability, with reported area under the curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.77 to 0.93 and accuracies between 77.5% and 84.9%. Key predictive factors consistently identified across multiple studies included posterior elevation, maximum keratometry (Kmax), and younger age. Notably, eyes that progressed were significantly younger than those that remained stable. Furthermore, incorporating non-imaging clinical risk factors-such as IgE levels, eye rubbing, and deficiencies in vitamin D and B12-into the classification framework enhanced the performance of the models. However, none of the studies conducted external validation using an independent, multi-center cohort. Most relied on internal train-test splits or cross-validation for their analyses.

conclusionAI models show promise in identifying the progression of KCN. However, the current evidence is limited by inconsistent criteria for progression, insufficient external validation, dependence on specific devices, and a lack of comprehensive reporting on calibration and decision curve analysis. To integrate these tools into routine clinical practice, standardized definitions, multi-center prospective validation studies, and platform-independent algorithms are essential.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsArtificial IntelligenceCorneaKeratoconusCorneal TopographyDisease ProgressionHumansArtificial IntelligenceCorneal ImagingDeep LearningKeratoconusMachine LearningProgression Prediction

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.