Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41239378›Full record

ArticleBMC oral health2025

Global, regional and national burden of lip and oral cavity cancer from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2036.

Xuan Liu, Bing Wang, Zhengyu Zhang, Hui Han, Zhaolu Liu, Suyun Li, Lianlong Yu, Panpan Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC oral health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Xuan Liu *School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China.
Bing Wang *Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Jinan Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases and Tissue Regeneration, Shandong Provincial Key Medical and Health Laboratory of Oral Diseases and Tissue Regeneration, Jinan Stomatological Hospital, Jinan, 250001, China.
Zhengyu ZhangSchool of Stomatology, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China.
Hui HanPediatric Dentistry Dept Ⅰ, Jinan Stomatological Hospital, Jinan, 250001, China.
Zhaolu LiuShandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, 250014, China.
Suyun LiShandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, 250014, China.
Lianlong YuSchool of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China. lianlong00a@163.com.
Panpan ZhangThe Center of Esthetic Dentistry, Jinan Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases and Tissue Regeneration, Shandong Provincial Key Medical and Health Laboratory of Oral Diseases and Tissue Regeneration, Jinan Stomatological Hospital, Jinan, 250001, China. magical1123@163.com.

Funding

Jinan Municipal Health Commission 2024106001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo explore the global trends in the incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of lip and oral cavity cancer from 1990 to 2021, analyze regional, age and gender differences in lip and oral cavity cancer across the world, and predict future trends.

methodsThe data were all from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database, calculating the global incidence, mortality and DALY rates of lip and oral cavity cancer per 100,000 population. The estimated annual percent change (EAPC) was calculated and a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analysis was conducted. The fitting curves of the disease burden indicators and the socio-demographic index (SDI) were analyzed.

resultsGlobally, incident cases of lip and oral cavity cancer in 2021 were 421,577 (95% UI, 389,878.79-449,782.06), number of deaths was 208,379 (95% UI, 191,287.97-224,162.08) and number of DALY was 5,874,070 (95% UI, 5,326,986.06-6,347,557.28). From 1990 to 2021, the incidence increased by 63.68%, the mortality rate increased by 44.6%, and the DALY rate increased by 35.21%. Among the five SDI regions, the incidence, mortality, and DALY rate in middle SDI regions have seen the largest increases, with EAPC of 2.83% (95% CI, 2.69-2.97), 1.99% (95% CI, 1.9-2.07), and 1. 71% (95%CI, 1.64-1.78). From the perspective of 21 regions, the incidence of lip and oral cavity cancer was highest in Australasia in 2021 (11.21 per 100,000; 95%UI, 9.97-12.4). At the national level, Palau has the highest incidence, mortality, and DALY rate globally (32.32 per 100,000; 95%UI, 24.64-41.33, 17.62 per 100,000; 95%UI, 13.37-22.83, 558.99 per 100,000; 95%UI, 420.48-735.74). BAPC forecasts a global rise in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) for this cancer in the coming years.

conclusionFrom 1990 to 2021, global rates of lip and oral cavity cancer incidence, mortality, and DALY rates increased significantly, with particularly notable rises in low-middle and middle SDI regions. This highlights the urgency of taking targeted intervention measures.

Indexed as

Lip NeoplasmsMouth NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultAgedDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedYoung AdultBayesian age-period-cohortEpidemiological trendsGlobal burden of diseaseLip and oral cavity cancerSocio-demographic index

Identifiers

PMID41239378
PMCPMC12619436

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.