Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41239247›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2025

Global burden of colorectal cancer in 2022 and projections to 2050: incidence and mortality estimates from GLOBOCAN.

Sumin Wu, Yunping Zhang, Zi Lin, Min Wei

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
49citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

49 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Sumin Wu *Center of Excellence, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518107, China.
Yunping Zhang *Center of Excellence, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518107, China.
Zi Lin *Center of Excellence, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518107, China.
Min WeiCenter of Excellence, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518107, China. weimin@sysush.com.

Funding

Clinical and Research Foundation of The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University NO. ZSQYLCKYJJ202319Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation NO. 2022A1515111069
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundColorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the common cancers worldwide and the second leading cause of cancer — related deaths. This study aimed to analyze the incidence and mortality of CRC in different global regions through the Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN) database, so as to provide data support for CRC prevention and treatment.

methodsIn this study, data on CRC incidence cases and deaths were extracted from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database for the world, 20 regions, and China, and age—standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and age—standardized mortality rates (ASMR) were analyzed by sex, world region, age, and human development index (HDI). Finally, the incident cases and deaths of CRC from 2022 to 2050 were predicted.

resultsData showed that in 2022, there were 1,926,425 global CRC incident cases and 904,019 deaths, with Eastern Asia having the highest numbers. China reported 517,106 incident cases and 240,010 deaths. ASIR and ASMR were higher among males than females across all regions, including China. Globally and in China, the incident cases and deaths of CRC significantly increased after the age of 40. Additionally, regions with a high HDI had higher numbers of incident and death cases of CRC, while those with a low HDI had relatively lower numbers. If CRC incidence rates remained unchanged from 2022, global new CRC cases were projected to reach 2.36 million by 2050, marking a 22.51% increase from 2022; under this same scenario of constant incidence rate, China’s new cases were estimated to decline to 464,000, representing a 10.27% decrease from 2022.

conclusionThe incidence and mortality of CRC were positively correlated with the HDI level, and gender and age were key factors affecting CRC incidence and mortality. Preventive measures needed to be taken to address the rising trends of global incidence and mortality.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsGlobal Burden of DiseaseAdultAgedChinaDatabases, FactualFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedColorectal cancerDeathsGLOBOCANHuman development indexIncident cases

Identifiers

PMID41239247
PMCPMC12619147

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.