Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41239083›Full record

ArticleOncology and therapy2026

Two-Stage Estimation of Overall Survival in the Phase 3 CheckMate 9ER Trial, Adjusting for the Impact of Subsequent Therapy.

Marc-Oliver Grimm, Emma Karim, Venediktos Kapetanakis, Mickael Lothgren, Alessia Ogareva, Pragya Shukla, James Truscott, Camillo Porta

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Oncology and therapy, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03141177 (A Phase 3, Randomized, Open-Label Study of Nivolumab Combined With Cabozantinib Versus Sunitinib in Participants With Previously Untreated Advanced or Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma), which is not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03141177 phase3completednot on this map

A Phase 3, Randomized, Open-Label Study of Nivolumab Combined With Cabozantinib Versus Sunitinib in Participants With Previously Untreated Advanced or Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

TypeinterventionalSponsorBristol-Myers SquibbRan2017 to 2026Enrolled701ConditionsRenal Cell CarcinomaArmsNivolumab, Cabozantinib, Sunitinib, Ipilimumab
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Marc-Oliver GrimmDepartment of Urology, Jena University Hospital, Friedrich-Schiller University Jena, Jena, Germany. Marc-Oliver.Grimm@med.uni-jena.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3084-8654
Emma KarimIpsen, London, UK.
Venediktos KapetanakisEvidera, London, UK.
Mickael LothgrenIpsen, Zug, Switzerland.
Alessia OgarevaIpsen, Paris, France.
Pragya ShuklaEvidera, Montreal, QC, Canada.
James TruscottEvidera, London, UK.
Camillo PortaInterdisciplinary Department of Medicine, University of Bari "A. Moro", Bari, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2412-1563

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe CheckMate 9ER (CM9ER) trial demonstrated the superiority of cabozantinib plus nivolumab (CaboNivo) over sunitinib (SUN) in patients with untreated advanced renal cell carcinoma (aRCC). We conducted a post hoc analysis using CM9ER data (median follow-up 67.6 months) and two-stage estimation (TSE) to assess the efficacy of CaboNivo versus SUN, adjusting for the impact of subsequent treatment.

methodsPatients in the intention-to-treat (ITT) CM9ER population who discontinued their randomized study therapy were included in step 1 of the TSE, which used accelerated failure time modeling to estimate the extent that subsequent therapy extended survival in each treatment arm. Step 2 adjusted the CM9ER ITT population overall survival (OS) estimates to account for this impact; an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for OS was then calculated to evaluate the relative impact of CaboNivo versus SUN without the effects of subsequent treatment.

resultsIn total, 540 patients from CM9ER (CaboNivo, n = 264; SUN, n = 276) discontinued treatment and were included in the analysis, of whom 297 (CaboNivo, n = 129; SUN, n = 168) initiated subsequent systemic therapy. Patient characteristics were balanced between ITT and TSE populations. Median (interquartile range) time from randomization to treatment discontinuation was 22.2 (9.92-31.51) months for CaboNivo and 9.6 (3.48-18.62) months for SUN. The TSE-adjusted median (95% confidence interval [CI]) OS was 42.7 (38.4-49.1) months for CaboNivo and 21.3 (18.1-24.9) months for SUN (HR [95% CI] 0.53 [0.43-0.65; p < 0.001]), compared with unadjusted estimates of 46.5 (40.6-53.7) months and 35.5 (29.2-42.8) months, respectively (HR [95% CI] 0.79 [0.65-0.96; p = 0.0196]).

conclusionsRemoving the effect of subsequent therapy strengthened the relative OS benefit of CaboNivo versus SUN in CM9ER. Consistent with clinical practice, these results further support first-line CaboNivo as a standard of care for aRCC. Graphical abstract available for this article.

trial registrationNCT03141177.

Indexed as

Advanced renal cell carcinoma (aRCC)Cabozantinib plus nivolumab (CaboNivo)CheckMate 9ER (CM9ER)Overall survival (OS)Subsequent therapySunitinib (SUN)Two-stage estimation (TSE)

Identifiers

PMID41239083
PMCPMC12992742

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.