Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41224349›Full record

ArticleSaudi medical journal2025

Estimating autism prevalence among children in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: A comprehensive multisource benchmarking approach.

Hadeel Khamees, Ankita Gulati, Arindam Vatsa, Mohammed Aldosari, Ehsan Hoque

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Saudi medical journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hadeel KhameesFrom the Psychiatry Department (Khamees), Prince Sultan Military Medical City; from the Psychiatry Department (Khamees), Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Centre for Autism and Developmental Disorders, from the Arthur D Little (Linnenbank, Gulati, Vatsa), Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Ministry of Defense and University of Rochester (Hoque), Computer Science, New York, United States of America.
Ankita GulatiFrom the Psychiatry Department (Khamees), Prince Sultan Military Medical City; from the Psychiatry Department (Khamees), Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Centre for Autism and Developmental Disorders, from the Arthur D Little (Linnenbank, Gulati, Vatsa), Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Ministry of Defense and University of Rochester (Hoque), Computer Science, New York, United States of America.
Arindam VatsaFrom the Psychiatry Department (Khamees), Prince Sultan Military Medical City; from the Psychiatry Department (Khamees), Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Centre for Autism and Developmental Disorders, from the Arthur D Little (Linnenbank, Gulati, Vatsa), Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Ministry of Defense and University of Rochester (Hoque), Computer Science, New York, United States of America.
Mohammed AldosariFrom the Psychiatry Department (Khamees), Prince Sultan Military Medical City; from the Psychiatry Department (Khamees), Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Centre for Autism and Developmental Disorders, from the Arthur D Little (Linnenbank, Gulati, Vatsa), Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Ministry of Defense and University of Rochester (Hoque), Computer Science, New York, United States of America.
Ehsan HoqueFrom the Psychiatry Department (Khamees), Prince Sultan Military Medical City; from the Psychiatry Department (Khamees), Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Centre for Autism and Developmental Disorders, from the Arthur D Little (Linnenbank, Gulati, Vatsa), Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Ministry of Defense and University of Rochester (Hoque), Computer Science, New York, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4781-4733

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo provide an accurate estimate of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) prevalence among children in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) by benchmarking against international and regional data, addressing the limitations of the currently reported prevalence rate of 0.6%.

methodsWe conducted a comparative benchmarking analysis using ASD prevalence data from countries with advanced monitoring systems (United Kingdom, United States, Denmark, South Korea, Italy, Singapore) and regional comparators (United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Jordan). We assessed differences in healthcare infrastructure, diagnostic frameworks, and screening intensity, and reviewed recent KSA-based studies. Methodological limitations such as underreporting, cultural stigma, and diagnostic inconsistencies were also considered.

resultsThe official General Authority for Statistics estimate of 0.6% underrepresents the actual prevalence of ASD in KSA. International benchmarks suggest higher prevalence, with the UK at 1.8%, the US at 3.2%, and South Korea at 2.6%. Regional studies in Qatar and the UAE show rates of 1.1% and 0.6%, respectively. KSA-specific studies report prevalence ranging from 1.3% (systematic review and meta-analysis across 24,000 children) to 2.5% (hospital-based screening in Riyadh). Integrating these findings, we estimate that the realistic prevalence in KSA lies between 1.7% and 1.8%.

conclusionThe prevalence of ASD among children in KSA is substantially higher than the official estimate of 0.6%. A calibrated range of 1.7% to 1.8% better reflects the true prevalence and provides a foundation for evidence-based public health planning, early screening initiatives, and resource allocation for autism services in KSA.

Indexed as

Autism Spectrum DisorderAutistic DisorderBenchmarkingChildChild, PreschoolHumansPrevalenceSaudi Arabiaautism spectrum disorderhealthcare infrastructurepublic health policyscreening program

Identifiers

PMID41224349
PMCPMC12625678

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.