Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41223238›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2025

Prevalence of clinically significant refractive error in children in Europe: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

Megan Doyle, Aoife O'Donnell, Síofra Harrington, Veronica O'Dwyer, Michael Moore

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Prevalence of Myopia in Europe: An Umbrella Review of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Megan DoyleCentre for Eye Research Ireland, School of Physics, Clinical & Optometric Sciences, Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0024-8922
Aoife O'DonnellSchool of Medicine, Ulster University, Derry~Londonderry, Northern Ireland.
Síofra HarringtonCentre for Eye Research Ireland, School of Physics, Clinical & Optometric Sciences, Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Veronica O'DwyerCentre for Eye Research Ireland, School of Physics, Clinical & Optometric Sciences, Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Michael MooreCentre for Eye Research Ireland, School of Physics, Clinical & Optometric Sciences, Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3919-444X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThis meta-analysis estimated clinically significant refractive error prevalence in European children and examined variations based on cycloplegic versus non-cycloplegic refraction, age and sex.

methodsA systematic review (PubMed, Cochrane Library, EMBASE, PROSPERO ID: CRD42022322608) identified studies (January 2000 - June 2024) reporting myopia (≤-0.50D), hyperopia (≥+2.00D) and astigmatism (≥1.00 DC) prevalence in children aged 4-17 years in Europe. Twenty-six studies from 14 countries (n = 37,282) were included. Pooled prevalence estimates (EPP) were calculated using a random-effects model with Freeman-Tukey double-arcsine transformation.

resultsEstimated pooled prevalences were refractive error: 17.90% (95% CI: 13.67-22.56), myopia: 14.31% (95% CI: 8.89-20.74; 24 studies), hyperopia: 10.20% (95% CI: 6.51-14.59; 11 studies), and astigmatism: 10.26% (95% CI: 5.83-15.74, eight studies). Cycloplegic and non-cycloplegic prevalence did not differ significantly (myopia: χ2 = 0.08, p = 0.78; hyperopia: χ2 = 0.29, p = 0.59). Myopia prevalence increased with age (6.17% at 4-9 years, 16.66% at 14 + years), while hyperopia declined (14.27% at 4-9 years, 7.04% at 10-13 years). Astigmatism remained stable; however, studies did not report its co-occurrence with myopia or hyperopia, limiting insights into its combined burden. No significant sex differences were observed. Data from 27 European countries were unavailable, limiting regional comparisons.

conclusionsApproximately 18% of European children have clinically significant refractive error, with myopia increasing with age and hyperopia decreasing. Myopia prevalence was highest in Russia, hyperopia in Denmark, and astigmatism in Northern Ireland. Further studies reporting cycloplegic prevalences with improved geographical representation and more granular reporting - particularly of astigmatism and its co-occurrence with other refractive errors are needed for better comparability and management of refractive errors in European children.

Indexed as

Refractive ErrorsAdolescentAstigmatismChildChild, PreschoolEuropeFemaleHumansHyperopiaMalePrevalence

Identifiers

PMID41223238
PMCPMC12611104

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.