Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41222211›Full record

SynthesisEuropean journal of pain (London, England)2025

Physical and Psychological Predictors for Persistent and Recurrent Non-Specific Neck Pain: A Systematic Review.

Cho Wai Geoffrey Yu, Kanya Wongwitwichote, Michael Mansfield, Janet A Deane, Valter Devecchi, Deborah Falla

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in European journal of pain (London, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Transcutaneous electrical nerve stimulation (TENS) for chronic neck pain.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Cho Wai Geoffrey YuUniversity of Birmingham, Centre of Precision Rehabilitation for Spinal Pain (CPR Spine), School of Sport, Exercise and Rehabilitation Sciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, UK.
Kanya WongwitwichoteUniversity of Birmingham, Centre of Precision Rehabilitation for Spinal Pain (CPR Spine), School of Sport, Exercise and Rehabilitation Sciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, UK.
Michael MansfieldUniversity of Birmingham, Centre of Precision Rehabilitation for Spinal Pain (CPR Spine), School of Sport, Exercise and Rehabilitation Sciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, UK.
Janet A DeaneUniversity of Birmingham, Centre of Precision Rehabilitation for Spinal Pain (CPR Spine), School of Sport, Exercise and Rehabilitation Sciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, UK.
Valter DevecchiUniversity of Birmingham, Centre of Precision Rehabilitation for Spinal Pain (CPR Spine), School of Sport, Exercise and Rehabilitation Sciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, UK.
Deborah FallaUniversity of Birmingham, Centre of Precision Rehabilitation for Spinal Pain (CPR Spine), School of Sport, Exercise and Rehabilitation Sciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1689-6190

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPatients with non-specific neck pain often develop persistent or recurrent pain and associated disability. This review investigated which physical and psychological factors predict persistent and recurrent neck pain and disability. DATABASES AND DATA TREATMENT: Five databases were searched from inception to January 31, 2025. After data extraction, the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool (QUIPS) was used for risk of bias assessment and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) tool was used to assess the certainty of evidence for each factor's predictive capability for neck disability, pain intensity and incidence.

resultsSix prospective cohort studies were selected. Three studies were rated with high overall risk of bias and three with moderate overall risk of bias. Consistent findings supported that high pain catastrophizing and psychological distress predict persistent and recurrent pain, disability and incidence with low to moderate certainty of evidence. There was inconsistency of results or limited studies reporting association between neck flexion strength, cold pain threshold tested over the tibialis anterior, pressure pain threshold tested over the neck or tibialis anterior, conditioned pain modulation, neck extensor endurance, and temporal summation with disability. In addition, there was low certainty of evidence which showed no relationship between cervical range of motion, cold pain threshold tested over the neck and neck extensor strength with disability.

conclusionsPain catastrophizing and psychological distress were identified as predictors of persistent and recurrent neck pain, disability and incidence. Further studies are needed to confirm findings of an association between physical factors with future neck pain and disability. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: This review provides evidence to support the addition of early assessment of pain catastrophizing and psychological distress to identify patients that are more susceptible to persistent and recurrent neck pain. When warranted, psychological interventions targeting maladaptive beliefs, pain-related anxiety and catastrophizing may be required to minimize persistent and recurrent neck pain and disability.

Indexed as

CatastrophizationNeck PainPsychological DistressChronic PainHumansPain MeasurementPain ThresholdRecurrence

Identifiers

PMID41222211
PMCPMC12611179

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.