Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41221805›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of antimicrobial chemotherapy2026

Machine learning for personalized antimicrobial susceptibility breakpoints.

Yinzheng Zhong, William Hope, Iain Buchan, Anoop Velluva, Alessandro Gerada, Conor Rosato, Peter L Green, Alex Howard

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of antimicrobial chemotherapy, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Yinzheng ZhongDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8477-3956
William HopeDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6187-878X
Iain BuchanDepartment of Public Health, Policy & Systems, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Anoop VelluvaDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Alessandro GeradaDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6743-4271
Conor RosatoDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Peter L GreenDepartment of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, School of Engineering, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Alex HowardDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.

Funding

NIHR NIHR205131Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 226691/Z/22/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesInfection diagnoses are critical to the personalized interpretation of EUCAST aminopenicillin breakpoints for Enterobacterales, but microbiology laboratories cannot predict diagnosis when specimens are received. Here, we assess whether machine learning could facilitate personalized antimicrobial susceptibility breakpoint reporting by predicting urinary tract infection (UTI) diagnoses.

methodsXGBoost models were trained using open-source electronic healthcare record data to predict complicated UTI in patients with Enterobacterales bacteriuria and to predict UTI in patients with Enterobacterales bacteraemia. These models were validated and used to provide simulated aminopenicillin dosing/regimen recommendations based on antimicrobial susceptibility results for patients with bacteriuria and bacteraemia in a holdout dataset. The main outcomes were the proportions of patients recommended appropriate aminopenicillin dosages/regimens according to EUCAST guidelines based on their diagnosis.

resultsThe area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.62 for predicting both complicated UTI in patients with bacteriuria and UTI in patients with bacteraemia. In the simulation study, 79.3% (n = 276) and 72.7% (n = 8) of patients with ampicillin-susceptible Enterobacterales bacteriuria and bacteraemia, respectively, were recommended appropriate aminopenicillin dosages/regimens for their infection diagnosis according to EUCAST guidelines. Adjusting the probability threshold for predicting complicated UTI increased the proportion of appropriate recommendations in bacteriuria to 96.6% (n = 336).

conclusionsUsing machine learning models to predict the probability of complicated UTI in patients with bacteriuria and the probability of UTI in patients with bacteraemia resulted in appropriate aminopenicillin dosages/regimens being recommended in most cases. These results provide proof-of-concept for how machine learning could facilitate the personalized implementation of EUCAST aminopenicillin breakpoints.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsEnterobacteriaceae InfectionsMachine LearningPrecision MedicineUrinary Tract InfectionsAdultAgedAmpicillinBacteremiaBacteriuriaEnterobacteriaceaeFemaleHumansMaleMicrobial Sensitivity TestsMiddle AgedAmpicillinAnti-Bacterial Agents

Identifiers

PMID41221805
PMCPMC12802893

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.