Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41219114›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2025

Effect of tobacco sales bans on retail sales in Beverly Hills and Manhattan Beach, California, USA: a synthetic difference-in-differences analysis.

Nita H Mukand, Wendy B Max, Rafael Colonna, Elizabeth Andersen-Rodgers, Justin S White

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Nita H MukandDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8467-5731
Wendy B MaxInstitute for Health and Aging, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4040-1592
Rafael ColonnaCalifornia Tobacco Prevention Program, California Department of Public Health, Sacramento, California, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-2456-0598
Elizabeth Andersen-RodgersCalifornia Tobacco Prevention Program, California Department of Public Health, Sacramento, California, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4126-6564
Justin S WhiteDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA juswhite@bu.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3388-9569

Funding

Translational Epidemiology - Training for Research on Aging and Chronic diseaseT32AG049663 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Elizabeth Rose Mayeda, Mark J Pletcher · 2016 to 2026
$5.8M
NIA NIH HHS T32 AG049663
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOn 1 January 2021, Beverly Hills and Manhattan Beach, California, became the first cities in the USA to ban tobacco product sales. We evaluated the effects of these policies on the sale of tobacco products and non-tobacco products by store in each city and its neighbouring area.

methodsWe used custom NielsenIQ retail scanner data by product and store to estimate actual and counterfactual sales trends for a set of convenience, grocery and drug stores in Beverly Hills and Manhattan Beach and their border areas using synthetic difference-in-differences models. Tobacco product unit sales were estimated overall and by tobacco product category. We also estimated changes in dollar sales of total non-tobacco products to evaluate broader economic impacts.

resultsTobacco sales in included stores ceased within 3 months of the policy going into effect in Beverly Hills and nearly ceased by December 2021 in Manhattan Beach. A shift in cross-border shopping was detected for cigars only. Non-tobacco product sales did not significantly change in either city or the border area.

conclusionThe tobacco sales bans in Beverly Hills and Manhattan Beach nearly eliminated local tobacco sales in the included stores, without prompting substantial cross-border shopping. Stability of non-tobacco product sales for included stores suggests these policies did not adversely affect local retail economies. These results suggest the viability of tobacco sales bans as an effective tobacco control strategy.

Indexed as

EconomicsEnd gamePublic policy

Identifiers

PMID41219114
PMCPMC12778735

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.