ArticleNature communications2025
The economic, agricultural, and food security repercussions of a wild pollinator collapse in Europe.
Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Intensive arable farming calls for resilient wild bee restoration amid severe abundance fluctuations.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026Article
- Biodiversity loss will decrease the future creditworthiness of nations.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026Article
- Pollinator Dependency and Regional Climate Affect Crop Yield Development Under Climate Change.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Sown Summer-Blooming Wildflowers as a Tool to Support Pollinator Biodiversity During Dry Periods in Mediterranean Agroecosystems.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Biodiversity conservation policies often face resistance, yet the global agri-food system's vulnerability to ecosystem service declines, such as wild pollinator losses, remains poorly understood. Wild pollinators are vital for sustaining crop yields, especially nutrient-rich crops. Declines in their populations could disrupt food production, trade, and global food security. Here, we show that a hypothetical collapse of wild pollinators in Europe by 2030 would reduce European crop yields by 8%, trigger modest cropland expansion, and diminish net exports. Although global market adjustments, through changes in land use and trade, would partially mitigate these impacts, they risk exacerbating food insecurity and undermining biodiversity conservation efforts globally. Prices for pollinator-dependent crops would rise globally, with Europe seeing the steepest increases. While producers may benefit from higher prices, consumers bear the brunt. Global annual welfare losses would reach €34 billion in 2030, with Europe and the EU accounting for €24 billion and €12 billion, disproportionately impacting EU member-states resistant to biodiversity-friendly policies.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.