Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41206796›Full record

ArticleESC heart failure2025

Gastroesophageal reflux disease and risk of atrial fibrillation/flutter: Implications for heart failure progression.

Wansong Hu, Yingxing Wu, Wanqian Yu, Ping Li

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in ESC heart failure, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Wansong HuDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Yingxing WuDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Wanqian YuDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Ping LiDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82460079
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsWhile observational studies suggest an association between gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF/AFL), the causal relationship and mechanisms remain undefined. This study employed Mendelian randomization (MR) to assess bidirectional causal relationships and explore potential implications for heart failure (HF) risk. METHODS AND

resultsA bidirectional two-sample MR analysis was conducted using genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary data from European populations (GERD: 129,080 cases and 473,524 controls; AF/AFL: 22,068 cases and 116,926 controls; Obesity: 4793 cases and 209,884 controls). Genetic instruments were selected for GERD and AF/AFL, with inverse variance weighting (IVW) as the primary analytical method to examine causality. Multivariable MR (MVMR) adjusted for obesity was performed to assess direct causal effects.

resultsIVW analysis demonstrated a significant causal effect of GERD on AF/AFL risk (OR = 1.373, 95% CI = 1.208-1.600, P = 0.017), which persisted after MVMR adjustment for obesity (OR = 1.303, 95% CI = 1.127-1.507, P < 0.001). Two-way analysis indicated no reverse causality. Sensitivity analyses supported result robustness with minimal pleiotropy.

conclusionsGenetic liability to GERD independently increases AF/AFL risk, unaffected by obesity pathways. Considering the well-established role of AF/AFL in the pathogenesis and progression of HF, our findings position GERD as a potential modifiable target within the causal pathway. Identification and management of GERD may therefore contribute to reducing atrial arrhythmia burden and subsequent HF risk.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationAtrial FlutterGastroesophageal RefluxHeart FailureDisease ProgressionFemaleGenome-Wide Association StudyGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk Factorsatrial fibrillationatrial flutterbidirectionalgastroesophageal reflux diseaseheart failureMendelian randomization

Identifiers

PMID41206796
PMCPMC12719815

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.