Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41202553›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of surgical research2025

Surgeon-Informed Clinical Decision Support Software for Surgical Risk Prediction and Outcomes Tracking.

Margaret M Hornick, Ankoor Talwar, Malia Voytik, Zachary Gala, Chris Amro, Salman Khan, Ayaka N Deguchi, Emily Dao, Dmitry Khodyakov, Katharine A Rendle and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of surgical research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Margaret M HornickDivision of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Electronic address: mmhornick@gmail.com.
Ankoor TalwarDivision of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, Lebanon, New Hampshire.
Malia VoytikDivision of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Zachary GalaDivision of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.
Chris AmroHansjörg Wyss Department of Plastic Surgery, New York University Langone Health, New York, New York.
Salman KhanDivision of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Ayaka N DeguchiDivision of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Emily DaoExpertLens, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California.
Dmitry KhodyakovExpertLens, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California.
Katharine A RendleDepartment of Family Medicine & Community Health, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Robyn B BroachDivision of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
John P FischerDivision of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Funding

Improving surgical outcomes through optimized hernia predictionR01DK131067 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI John Patrick Fischer · 2022 to 2026
$3.1M
NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK131067
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe effective implementation of clinical decision support software (CDSS) requires integration into clinical context and workflow. To prospectively define surgeon-centric design principles, this study employed a modified-Delphi method to guide the development of a novel CDSS app combining incisional hernia risk prediction with patient outcomes tracking.

methodsA three-round, online modified-Delphi panel of 30 surgeons from eight specialties assessed a pilot CDSS app. Feasibility, importance, and acceptability of the application's risk model, user interface, and workflow integration were assessed using Likert scales and qualitative analysis.

resultsSurgeons established clear parameters for model performance (median acceptable false negative rate <10%, false positive rate <15%, minimum area under the receiver operator characteristic curve ≥0.8). Visual risk depictions and transparent weighting of risk factors were highly important for surgeon risk interpretation and patient communication. Team-based data entry, user accounts, data entry and outcome trackers, customizable reminders, and mobile and desktop interfaces were highly important for mitigating user burden, particularly for longitudinal outcomes tracking. Thematic analysis revealed: risk models are primarily used for patients already perceived as high-risk to enhance patient communication, variable statistical literacy impacts surgeon understanding and application of risk model, acceptable model performance metrics vary with clinical context, and minimizing user burden are crucial for successful CDSS adoption.

conclusionsThese findings provide surgeon-informed foundational concepts for developing surgical CDSS tools. For CDSS to be successful, it must function as an interpretable and efficient tool that augments clinical judgment. Addressing end-user needs for model transparency, statistical literacy, and workflow integration are essential for adoption.

Indexed as

Decision Support Systems, ClinicalSoftwareSurgeonsFemaleHumansMaleRisk AssessmentWorkflowAppClinical decision support softwareDelphi techniquePatient outcomesRisk modelSurgery

Identifiers

PMID41202553
PMCPMC12718413

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.