Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41198203›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2025

Concussions and risk of a subsequent traffic crash: retrospective cohort analysis in Ontario, Canada.

Donald A Redelmeier, Vidhi Bhatt, Robert Tibshirani, Samantha S M Drover

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Donald A RedelmeierSunnybrook Research Institute, Toronto, Ontario, Canada dar@ices.on.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4147-3544
Vidhi BhattUniversity of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Robert TibshiraniDepartment of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA.
Samantha S M DroverInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundConcussion is an acute injury that may contribute to short-term limitations and potential long-term risks.

objectiveTo test whether a past concussion is associated with the risk of a subsequent serious motor vehicle crash.

designPopulation-based longitudinal cohort analysis.

settingOntario, Canada, from 1 April 2002 to 31 March 2022 (178 emergency departments). PATIENTS: Adults diagnosed with a concussion (cases) or an acute ankle sprain (controls), excluding individuals with a disqualifying illness (blindness, dementia, delirium), severe cases resulting in hospitalisation or those who died within 90 days. PRIMARY MEASURE: Subsequent motor vehicle crash requiring emergency medical care.

resultsWe identified 3 037 028 patients, including 425 158 with a concussion and 2 611 870 with an ankle sprain. A total of 200 603 patients were injured in a subsequent motor vehicle crash over a median follow-up of 10 years, equal to an absolute risk of 1 in 15 patients (6.64 per 1000 patient-years). Patients with a concussion had a 49% higher motor vehicle crash risk compared with those with ankle sprain (adjusted relative risk=1.49, 95% CI 1.47 to 1.50, p<0.001). The increased risk was particularly high in the early weeks after a concussion, remained independent of other observed risk factors, applied to diverse clinical groups and was further accentuated after repeated concussions. The risk extended across a spectrum of crash severity, was accentuated for single-vehicle events, replicated in analyses with artificial intelligence methods adjusting for confounding and remained distinct from the risks of other unrelated medical emergencies.

conclusionsThis study suggests a significant increased risk of a motor vehicle crash after a concussion that may justify a safety warning from clinicians.

Indexed as

Accidents, TrafficAnkle InjuriesBrain ConcussionAdolescentAdultAgedEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedOntarioRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsYoung AdultNeurological injuryPREVENTIVE MEDICINETraumaTrauma managementTRAUMA MANAGEMENT

Identifiers

PMID41198203
PMCPMC12593509

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.