Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41196872›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Simulating macroevolutionary trends and open-ended evolution with a novel mechanistic multi-level approach.

Roberto Latorre, Miguel Brun-Usan, Gloria Fernández-Lázaro

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Roberto LatorreGrupo de Neurocomputación Biológica, Dpto. de Ingeniería Informática, Escuela Politécnica Superior, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3835-7905
Miguel Brun-UsanDpto. de Biología, Unidad de Paleontología, Facultad de Ciencias and Centre for the Integration in Paleobiology (CIPb-UAM), Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain.
Gloria Fernández-LázaroDpto. de Psicología Biológica y de la Salud, Facultad de Psicología, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Microevolution and macroevolution describe evolutionary change at different scales: short-term genetic and phenotypic variation within populations, and long-term patterns of diversification and extinction. Despite their interconnected nature, they have often been studied separately, and the reciprocal causal links between them remain poorly understood due to their operation on different timescales and the complexity of the processes involved, making mechanistic approaches particularly challenging. To bridge this operational gap, we introduce a novel bottom-up, process-based computational framework that integrates genotype-to-phenotype mapping, fitness evaluation under environmental constraints, and biotic interactions shaping ecological niches and adaptive pressures, while incorporating lower-level mechanisms such as mutation, gene flow, and gene-pool expansion through stochastic duplication of genes. Its modular design accommodates diverse microevolutionary mechanisms to study the emergence of large-scale eco-evolutionary patterns from explicit individual-level processes. The framework allows addressing research questions ranging from the formation of spatiotemporal biodiversity patterns to the role of eco-evolutionary feedbacks in macroevolution. It provides an open-ended platform that serves both as a theoretical tool for testing evolutionary hypotheses and as a flexible environment for exploratory simulations. To illustrate its heuristic potential, we present proof-of-concept simulations under biologically plausible conditions that reproduce multiple well-documented macroevolutionary patterns-such as biphasic diversification, saturating and exponential-like biodiversity trends, speciation-extinction correlations, species duration distributions, and niche structuring-as emergent phenomena. Beyond reproducing patterns, the simulations reveal underlying mechanisms, including trial-and-error dynamics in long-term adaptation, high species turnover maintaining biodiversity equilibrium, and self-organized niche occupancy. These findings establish the framework as a versatile tool for investigating the complex interplay of ecological and evolutionary forces shaping biodiversity. By capturing emergent dynamics from mechanistic microevolutionary processes without imposing predefined constraints, the model provides a unique perspective on long-term evolutionary change, contributing to a broader theoretical toolkit for studying macroevolutionary patterns under controlled conditions. Future extensions could assess how variations in environmental dynamics, genomic architecture, or species interactions influence evolutionary trajectories, refining our understanding of biodiversity evolution.

Indexed as

Biological EvolutionBiodiversityComputer SimulationEnvironmentGenetic DriftGenetic VariationModels, GeneticPhenotypePopulation Dynamics

Identifiers

PMID41196872
PMCPMC12591426

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.