Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41194279›Full record

ArticleArthritis research & therapy2025

Insights into knee post-traumatic osteoarthritis pathophysiology from the relationship of serum biomarkers to radiographic features in the ADVANCE cohort.

Oliver O'Sullivan, Ana M Valdes, Fraje Watson, Stefan Kluzek, Anthony M J Bull, Alexander N Bennett

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Article in Arthritis research & therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Oliver O'SullivanAcademic Department of Military Rehabilitation (ADMR), Defence Medical Rehabilitation Centre (DMRC), Stanford Hall, Loughborough, UK. oliver_osullivan@hotmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-9184-4713
Ana M ValdesNottingham NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1141-4471
Fraje WatsonDepartment of Bioengineering, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3716-9267
Stefan KluzekAcademic Unit of Injury, Recovery and Inflammation Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0696-7541
Anthony M J BullCentre for Blast Injury Studies, Department of Bioengineering, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4473-8264
Alexander N BennettAcademic Department of Military Rehabilitation (ADMR), Defence Medical Rehabilitation Centre (DMRC), Stanford Hall, Loughborough, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2985-5304

Funding

Ministry of Defence 2122.030Versus Arthritis 21076
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionPost-traumatic osteoarthritis (PTOA) is a complex condition with multiple pathological processes at play. Molecular biomarkers can enable a better understanding of these processes, thus enhancing case endotyping, phenotyping, personalised care and drug discovery. The longitudinal ArmeD SerVices TrAuma and RehabilitatioN OutComE (ADVANCE) study offers the opportunity to develop insights into PTOA pathophysiology using a panel of extra-cellular matrix turnover, inflammatory and metabolic biomarkers and their cross-sectional (associative) and longitudinal (predictive) relationship to features of radiographic PTOA in a cohort of young, male, severely injured servicepersonnel.

methodsUsing serum and radiographic data gathered in the baseline (8-years) and first follow-up visit (11-years) post-injury of ADVANCE (n = 1145), two analyses were undertaken. Firstly, cross-sectional univariate analysis between serum COMP, CTX-II, PIIANP, IL-1b, IL-17a, TNF-a, leptin and adiponectin and radiographic features (joint space narrowing (JSN), osteophytes and sclerosis), followed by the longitudinal prediction of new or progression of these three radiographic features using LASSO to select predictors. The area under a ROC curve (AUROC) was computed.

resultsComplete radiographic and serum case data in n = 872 male British servicemen, aged 34.5 (5.5) at baseline and 38.3 (5.4) at follow-up were analysed. Those with JSN had significantly higher concentrations of leptin (FDR-corrected q-value, q = 0.04). COMP had an AUROC of 0.604 (0.543,0.664) for new cases of JSN, COMP, IL-1β and leptin had an AUROC 0.586 (0.524,0.646) for new osteophytes, and TNF-α, IL-1β and adiponectin had an AUROC 0.590 (0.520,0.659) for new sclerosis.

conclusionThis large, unique study suggests different pathological processes underpinning each radiographic feature of PTOA, including predominant unbalanced ECM-catabolism and inflammation contributing to JSN, ECM-catabolism and increased inflammation contributing to osteophyte development and an inflammation-predominant process contributing to subchondral sclerosis.

Indexed as

Knee InjuriesOsteoarthritis, KneeAdultBiomarkersCohort StudiesCross-Sectional StudiesDisease ProgressionHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleRadiographyYoung AdultBiomarkersAnabolismCatabolismInflammationPathophysiologyPost-traumatic osteoarthritisSerum biomarkers

Identifiers

PMID41194279
PMCPMC12587722

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