Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41193535›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Mediating role of arterial stiffness in the association between physical activity and cardiovascular disease risk: a prospective cohort study.

Zuting Liu, Jie Kuang, Wei Yan, Yao Zhu, Xia Yang, Yan Xu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Zuting Liu *Institute for the Control of Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases, Jiangxi Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Jie Kuang *Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Wei YanInstitute for the Control of Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases, Jiangxi Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Yao ZhuInstitute for the Control of Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases, Jiangxi Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Xia YangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Yan XuInstitute for the Control of Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases, Jiangxi Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China. jxnc0426@163.com.

Funding

Health Commission of Jiangxi Province 20186009National Natural Science Foundation of China 82360667Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province 20212BAB206091
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV), a noninvasive marker of arterial stiffness, serves as a potential biomarker for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. This 7 year prospective cohort study of 10,055 adults aged 35-75 investigated whether ePWV mediates the association between physical activity (PA) and CVD risk. PA levels (high/moderate/low in 2016), ePWV (measured in 2018), and CVD incidence (2018-2023) were defined as exposure, mediator, and outcome, respectively. Cox models and causal mediation analysis (CMA) assessed associations and the natural indirect effect (NIE) of PA on CVD via ePWV. During follow-up, CVD incidence was 1.29/100 person-years. Elevated ePWV (≥ 10 m/s) significantly increased CVD risk (HR = 1.673, 95% CI 1.319, 2.124). ePWV may mediate the link between low/moderate PA and CVD incidence. In the high ePWV group (≥ 10 m/s), low/moderate PA levels showed an NIE of HR = 1.025 (95% CI 1.013, 1.041), with 10.6% of the effect mediated by ePWV. Arterial stiffness appears to mediate the association between PA and incident CVD in middle-aged and older adults. These findings highlight ePWV as a potential metric for CVD risk prediction, and future validation in randomized settings is required before considering clinical utility.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesExerciseVascular StiffnessAdultAgedFemaleHeart Disease Risk FactorsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesPulse Wave AnalysisRisk FactorsArterial stiffnessCardiovascular diseaseCausal mediation analysisEstimated pulse wave velocityPhysical activity

Identifiers

PMID41193535
PMCPMC12589432

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.