Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41191620›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2025

Geospatial and phylogenetic clustering of acute and recent HIV infections in Lilongwe, Malawi.

Griffin J Bell, Kimberly A Powers, Oliver Ratmann, Ann M Dennis, Pearson Mmodzi, Mitch Matoga, Edward Jere, Jane S Chen, Courtney N Maierhofer, Sarah E Rutstein and 12 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Griffin J BellDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4367-135X
Kimberly A PowersDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7980-9846
Oliver RatmannDepartment of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8667-4118
Ann M DennisDivision of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-9661
Pearson MmodziUniversity of North Carolina Project, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Mitch MatogaUniversity of North Carolina Project, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Edward JereUniversity of North Carolina Project, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Jane S ChenDepartment of Health Behavior, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.
Courtney N MaierhoferDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.
Sarah E RutsteinDivision of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1571-6576
Kathryn E LancasterDepartment of Implementation Science, School of Medicine, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, United States of America.
Maganizo B ChagomeranaDivision of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4231-4553
Naomi BonongweUniversity of North Carolina Project, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Esther MathiyaUniversity of North Carolina Project, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Beatrice NdalamaUniversity of North Carolina Project, Lilongwe, Malawi.
David BonsallNuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Sharon S WeirDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6014-1460
Mina C HosseinipourDivision of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.
Michael EmchDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2642-965X
Myron S CohenDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.
Irving F HoffmanDivision of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.
William C MillerDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1934-7827

Funding

Training in Sexually Transmitted Infections and HIVT32AI007001 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI SENA-SOBERANO, ARLENE C. · 1985 to 2025
$10.9M
Johns Hopkins HIV Epidemiology and Prevention Sciences Training ProgramT32AI102623 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Shruti H Mehta · 2013 to 2026
$5.3M
Timely monitoring and response to HIV transmission networks for intensified preventionR01AI135970 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DENNIS, ANN · 2018 to 2022
$3.8M
Reaching Unaware Sexual and Social Contacts to Interrupt Ongoing HIV TransmissionR01AI114320 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI MILLER, WILLIAM C, POWERS, KIMBERLY A · 2014 to 2017
$2.5M
Epidemiological, Geospatial, and Phylogenetic Evidence to Inform Interventions Against HIV Transmission during Acute and Early HIV Infection in Lilongwe, MalawiF31AI167672 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI BELL, GRIFFIN · 2022 to 2024
$81k
NIAID NIH HHS F31 AI167672NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI114320NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI135970NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007001NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI102623
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

HIV transmission during early HIV infection impedes efforts to end HIV as a public health threat, as diagnosis typically occurs after this period of elevated transmission risk. To guide diagnosis and prevention strategies, we evaluated the geospatial and phylogenetic clustering of acute and recent HIV infection in Lilongwe, Malawi. We identified people with acute (pre-seroconversion) HIV infection (AHI) and a random sample of people with post-acute HIV infection who presented to a sexually transmitted infections (STI) clinic in Lilongwe, Malawi between 2015 and 2019. We evaluated infection recency in people with post-acute HIV using a LAg-Avidity assay. We mapped the household locations of people with AHI and identified geospatial clusters using a flexible scan statistic. We constructed consensus sequences from deep sequencing reads to identify phylogenetic clusters through genetic distance thresholds and maximum likelihood trees. We identified 141 people with AHI, 30 people with recent HIV, and 652 people with chronic (non-recent) HIV. We identified four geospatial clusters that contained the residences of 30% of clinic attendees with AHI, despite comprising just 0.8% of the populated land area and 3.5% of the population. We also identified fourteen distinct two-person phylogenetic clusters. Ten of the fourteen were male-female pairs, nine of which were clinic referral pairs. The remaining four were same-sex pairs who had not referred each other to the clinic and may have been missing network intermediaries. Three of the fourteen phylogenetic pairs consisted of only acute/recent members, and zero phylogenetic linkages were located within geospatial clusters. AHI detection programs anchored in STI clinic populations and their neighborhoods could facilitate identification of early HIV infection, enabling treatment initiation and transmission prevention efforts during this most infectious period. Future studies of intervention packages and deployment approaches can help inform the optimal design and implementation of AHI-focused strategies for reducing HIV incidence.

Identifiers

PMID41191620
PMCPMC12588460

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.