ArticleInternational journal of population data science2025
Cohort profile: The SAIL long-term conditions e-cohort (SLTC cohort) investigating area-level changes in healthcare resource use in Wales.
Article in International journal of population data science, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Introduction: The prioritisation of acute cases of coronavirus during the pandemic caused significant disruption to non-urgent healthcare services, creating a backlog of undiagnosed and untreated individuals with long-term conditions. Previous research has explored the impact of the pandemic on long-term conditions in Wales, but not the geographic variation or underlying area-level characteristics associated with these changes. Objectives: We created the SAIL long-term conditions e-cohort (SLTC cohort) within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank to describe changes in healthcare service use of individuals living with long-term conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic, and to facilitate future investigations into the underlying reasons for these changes. Methods: Individuals were included in the cohort if they interacted with health services with a long-term condition between January 2017 and December 2022. Interactions were identified using primary and secondary care datasets within the SAIL Databank. We linked this interaction level data with individual, residence, and area-level demographic data. We calculated area-level age-sex-standardised rates of interactions, based on an individual's address at the time of interaction, for the 3 years pre-COVID-19 (2017-2019) and during-COVID-19 (2020-2022). Percentage changes in rates between these time periods were calculated, and we investigated the underlying area-level characteristics associated with these differences. Results: The SLTC cohort contains 1,277,532 individuals. Age-sex standardised interaction rates varied by Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation (WIMD) quintiles and Rural-Urban Classification. Areas in the most deprived WIMD quintile had the greatest median percentage decrease (23.5%) in primary care rates of interactions from pre- to during-COVID-19, and the least deprived overall WIMD quintile had the smallest (16.9%). Areas classified as 'Urban city & town in a sparse setting' had the greatest decrease in primary care interactions (29.7%), and 'Rural village' areas had the smallest decrease (17.1%). Secondary care rates of interactions showed less variation in rates of interactions between the two time periods. Conclusion: We have created a cohort that links area-level characteristics and measures of healthcare resource use, in a study period that covers pre- and during-COVID-19, which will allow researchers to investigate geographic variation of changes in healthcare resource use over this time period and the underlying influences. This cohort can also be further linked to other area-level characteristics of interest, such as travel times to general practices, or access to green space measures.
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