Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41185413›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2026

Sustained impact of bivalent HPV immunisation on CIN incidence over two rounds of cervical screening.

Timothy J Palmer, Kimberley Kavanagh, Kate Cuschieri, Ross L Cameron, Catriona Graham, Allan Wilson, Kirsty Roy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Timothy J PalmerPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK.
Kimberley KavanaghPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK.
Kate CuschieriMRC Centre for Reproductive Health, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2604-3928
Ross L CameronPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK.
Catriona GrahamEdinburgh Clinical Research Facility, University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.
Allan WilsonScottish Cervical Screening Programme, National Services Division (NSD), Edinburgh, UK.
Kirsty RoyPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK.

Funding

Scottish Government
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Vaccination against high-risk HPV has been shown to reduce significantly the incidence of pre-invasive and invasive cervical disease. Clinical trials show immunity and vaccine effectiveness for over 12 years but real-life longitudinal data are lacking. Vaccination with the bivalent vaccine (3 dose schedule) for women aged 12-18 years began in Scotland in 2008; immunised women entered screening in 2010. Women immunised at age12-13 years entered screening in 2015. Linked data from ≤12 years of routine screening activity shows adjusted VE against CIN2+ at age 12-13 of 72·6% (95%CI: 67.7-76.8) and at age 14-16 of 63·2 (CI 60·4-65·8), and against CIN3+ of 81·7 (CI 76·2-78·6; age 12-13) and 68·1 (CI 64·1-71·6; age 14-16) after 3 doses or two doses 5 months apart. Adjusted VE following two doses 1 month apart or one dose only at age14 was 20.5 (95%CI: 6.1-32.6) for CIN2+ and 34.9 (95%CI:17.0-48.9) for CIN3+. No benefit was seen with vaccination over the age of 18 years. The most deprived women showed the highest incidence of CIN2+ and CIN3+, and the greatest reduction in CIN2+ and CIN3+ following complete immunisation. Herd protection is seen in all immunised cohorts. This population based analysis confirms the long-term effectiveness of the bivalent HPV vaccine, greatest in women from the most deprived areas and reinforces the importance of ensuring high vaccine uptake rates at an early age.

Indexed as

Papillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdolescentChildEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedScotlandVaccinationPapillomavirus Vaccinesage at immunisationbivalent HPV vaccinationherd protectionhigh‐grade CINsocio‐economic deprivation

Identifiers

PMID41185413
PMCPMC12765965

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.