Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41178693›Full record

ArticleDiabetes, obesity & metabolism2026

Improving cardiovascular risk stratification through the derivation and validation of an elevated triglyceride-glucose index.

Georgios Mavraganis, Georgios Georgiopoulos, Stavros Athanasopoulos, Dimitrios Terentes-Printzios, Georgios Zervas, Christina Konstantaki, Maria Eleni Koilakou, Sofia-Panagiota Giannakopoulou, Maria-Angeliki Dimopoulou, Christina Chrysochoou and 7 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes, obesity & metabolism, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Georgios MavraganisDepartment of Clinical Therapeutics, Alexandra Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece.
Georgios GeorgiopoulosDepartment of Clinical Therapeutics, Alexandra Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece.
Stavros AthanasopoulosDepartment of Clinical Therapeutics, Alexandra Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0003-0421-0227
Dimitrios Terentes-PrintziosFirst Department of Cardiology, Hippokration General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
Georgios ZervasDepartment of Clinical Therapeutics, Alexandra Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece.
Christina KonstantakiDepartment of Clinical Therapeutics, Alexandra Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece.
Maria Eleni KoilakouFirst Department of Cardiology, Hippokration General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
Sofia-Panagiota GiannakopoulouDepartment of Nutrition and Dietetics, School of Health Sciences and Education, Harokopio University, Athens, Greece.
Maria-Angeliki DimopoulouDepartment of Clinical Therapeutics, Alexandra Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece.
Christina ChrysochoouFirst Department of Cardiology, Hippokration General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
Konstantinos TsioufisFirst Department of Cardiology, Hippokration General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
Christos PitsavosFirst Department of Cardiology, Hippokration General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
Evangelos LiberopoulosFirst Department of Propaedeutic Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Laiko General Hospital, Athens, Greece.
Konstantinos StellosDepartment of Cardiovascular Research, European Center for Angioscience (ECAS), Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Mannheim, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0194-0825
Charalambos VlachopoulosFirst Department of Cardiology, Hippokration General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
Demosthenes PanagiotakosDepartment of Nutrition and Dietetics, School of Health Sciences and Education, Harokopio University, Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0001-8583-153X
Kimon StamatelopoulosDepartment of Clinical Therapeutics, Alexandra Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0001-6444-8734

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsTriglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, is an emerging prognostic biomarker in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Validation of its clinical value and of clinically relevant prognostic cut-off, remains an unmet need to integrate TyG into primary prevention protocols.

methodsTo assess the clinical applicability of TyG, a composite of cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization or stroke was used as the primary endpoint in a general population cohort (ATTICA cohort, n = 1677, derivation cohort). Next, we derived an optimal prognostic TyG cut-off and externally validated it in a primary prevention cohort (n = 1237). To assess the clinical value of TyG, we analysed 1170 consecutively recruited patients from an ongoing registry aiming to stratify ASCVD risk (Athens Cardiometabolic Cohort) and assessed indices of subclinical arterial injury and progression of atherosclerosis. The TyG index was calculated by the formula: ln[fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2].

resultsTyG index was independently associated with increased CVD events in the derivation cohort (HR = 1.33, p = 0.020). The incremental value of a derived optimal cut-off of 8.46 over SCORE2 was confirmed in both derivation and validation cohorts [net reclassification index (NRI) = 0.668 and 0.469 respectively, Delta Harrell's C index = 0.054 and 0.044 respectively, p < 0.05 for all]. Elevated TyG index was associated with more diseased vascular beds (OR = 2.00, 95% CI 1.24-3.24), progression of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis (OR = 2.99, 95% CI 1.10-8.17) at follow-up and established ASCVD (p < 0.05 for all).

conclusionsTyG is associated with increased prevalence and progression of subclinical and clinically overt ASCVD. In individuals assessed for primary prevention a TyG≥8.46 may serve as a risk enhancer.

Indexed as

AtherosclerosisBlood GlucoseCardiovascular DiseasesTriglyceridesAgedBiomarkersCohort StudiesFemaleHeart Disease Risk FactorsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsBiomarkersBlood GlucoseTriglyceridescardiovascular diseasecohort studyinsulin resistancepopulation study

Identifiers

PMID41178693
PMCPMC12803534

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.