ArticleInternational journal for equity in health2025
Burden and forecast of severe periodontitis in BRICS-Plus nations: trends from 1990 to 2040.
Article in International journal for equity in health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundSevere periodontitis is a global public health challenge, disproportionately affecting low- and middle-income countries. BRICS-Plus nations (35 emerging economies representing > 50% world population) face unique pressures from socioeconomic inequalities and aging populations, yet their epidemiological trends remain understudied. This study aims to quantify the burden of severe periodontitis and project future trends in these nations.
methodsUsing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), we analyzed historical trends (1990-2021) of incidence and years lived with disability (YLDs) via the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to generate future projections (2022-2040) that comprehensively account for age, period, and cohort effects.
resultsIn 2021, BRICS-Plus contributed 62.52% of global incident cases (89.61 million) and 64.31% of YLDs (6.90 million). Regional disparities were pronounced: Mercosur and SAARC showed the highest age-standardized burdens (incidence: 1132.20/100,000; YLD: 95.52/100,000), while SACU had the lowest (incidence: 600.50/100,000; YLD: 36.78/100,000). Laos exhibited the sharpest historical rises (incidence EAPC = 1.33, 95%CI: 1.02 to 1.65; YLD EAPC = 1.62, 95%CI: 1.18 to 2.06). BAPC projections indicate sustained growth in Laos, with 40-60-year-olds remaining as the high-risk group, while over half of BRICS-Plus nations may experience downward trends by 2040.
conclusionsSevere periodontitis exhibits divergent trends across BRICS-Plus, with Laos facing escalating burden while most nations show projected declines. Implementing targeted interventions-including tailored dental healthcare strengthening in high-prevalence regions and evidence-based preventive strategies targeting vulnerable middle-aged demographics-is essential for effectively addressing these divergent trends and reducing the overall disease burden.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.