Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41174552›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2025

Post-COVID-19 resurgence of respiratory viruses in Taiwan: an interrupted time series analysis from three regional medical centers (2015-2023).

Tu-Hsuan Chang, Ya-Li Hu, Wan-Chen Chen, Chi-Tai Fang, Shu-Yuan Ho, Tai-Fen Lee, Yu-Tsung Huang, Hung-Jen Tang, Luan-Yin Chang

Abstract read
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Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Tu-Hsuan Chang *Department of Pediatrics, Chi Mei Medical Center, No.901, Zhonghua Rd., Yongkang Dist., Tainan City, 710, Taiwan. a755115@yahoo.com.tw.
Ya-Li HuDepartment of Pediatrics, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, No. 8, Chung-Shan South Road, Taipei City, 10041, Taiwan.
Wan-Chen ChenDepartment of Pediatrics, Changhua Christian Children's Hospital, Changhua City, Taiwan.
Chi-Tai FangInstitute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, Infectious Diseases Research and Education Center, National Taiwan University, Ministry of Health and Welfare and National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Shu-Yuan HoDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
Tai-Fen LeeDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
Yu-Tsung HuangDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
Hung-Jen TangDepartment of Internal Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan, Taiwan.
Luan-Yin Chang *Department of Pediatrics, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, No. 8, Chung-Shan South Road, Taipei City, 10041, Taiwan. lychang@ntu.edu.tw.

Funding

Chi Mei Medical Center CMOR11401, CMOR11505, CMFHR114060National Science and Technology Council NSTC 112-2314-B-002-228 and 113-2314-B-002-123National Taiwan University Hospital NTUH 112_W001 and 113_W001, and 114_W001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic and associated nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) profoundly disrupted the transmission dynamics of respiratory viruses worldwide. However, the long-term impact on multiple respiratory pathogens, particularly in Taiwan, remains unclear.

methodsWe conducted an interrupted time series analysis using negative binomial regression to assess monthly trends of five respiratory viruses—adenovirus, enterovirus, influenza, parainfluenza virus (PIV) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)—on the basis of data collected from three tertiary medical centers in Taiwan (2015–2023). The study period was divided into three phases: pre-COVID-19 (2015–2019), during COVID-19 (2020–2022), and post-COVID-19 (2023). Negative binomial regression with seasonal adjustment and lag variables was used to assess virus-specific trends. Percentage changes in case numbers were calculated.

resultsA total of 60,368 virus cases were identified. During the COVID-19 period, significant decreases in the number of adenovirus (-31.6%), enterovirus (-67.1%), and influenza (-85.0%) cases were observed. Postpandemic, the number of enterovirus and influenza cases rebounded sharply, with increases of 499.3% and 619.5%, respectively. PIV and adenovirus cases also increased by 223.8% and 151.2%, respectively. In contrast, the number of RSV cases did not significantly change during the study period. However, RSV exhibited altered seasonal patterns and atypical peaks during and after the pandemic.

conclusionThe COVID-19 pandemic led to substantial disruptions in respiratory virus circulation in Taiwan, followed by divergent rebound patterns postpandemic. Our findings highlight the complex interplay between public health interventions and viral epidemiology. Continued surveillance is vital for understanding future transmission patterns and informing preparedness strategies. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.

Indexed as

COVID-19Respiratory Tract InfectionsHumansInfluenza, HumanInterrupted Time Series AnalysisSARS-CoV-2SeasonsTaiwanAdenovirusCOVID-19EnterovirusInfluenzaParainfluenza virusRespiratory syncytial virusViral activity

Identifiers

PMID41174552
PMCPMC12577226

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.