Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41169423›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in medicine2025

Global, regional, and national burden of interstitial lung disease in middle-aged and older adults from 1990 to 2021 with projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study.

Long Chen, Jiuhe Wang, Jinglian Qu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Long ChenGuizhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guiyang, China.
Jiuhe WangDepartment of Heart Diseases, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hohhot, China.
Jinglian QuGuizhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guiyang, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) constitutes a significant global health challenge. However, existing epidemiological studies predominantly focus on worldwide and regional distribution patterns, while a substantial knowledge gap persists regarding the epidemiological characteristics of ILD among middle-aged and older adults (50-74 years). Therefore, this investigation comprehensively evaluates the disease burden of interstitial lung disease across global, regional, and national levels within the specified population. Methods: Utilizing data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, we employed key age-standardized metrics prevalence rate (ASPR), incidence rate (ASIR), death rate (ASDR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate-to quantify the disease burden. Temporal patterns from 1990 to 2021 were assessed using Joinpoint regression analysis, deriving both the annual percentage change (APC) and (AAPC). Frontier analysis benchmarked national regional performance against optimal achievers and projected disease trajectories over the next 25 years. Results: In 2021, a global total of 2,524,796 prevalent ILD cases occurred among adults aged 50-74 years, concurrent with sustained increases in ASPR, ASIR, ASDR, and DALY rates. Andean Latin America exhibited the highest ASIR, ASDR, and DALY rates, while High-Income Asia Pacific registered the peak ASPR. Uniform upward trajectories in prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALYs were consistently observed across all age groups during 1990-2021. Joinpoint regression analysis revealed that while ASPR and ASIR increased from 1990 to 2010 but subsequently decreased from 2010 to 2021, conversely, ASDR and DALYs increased from 1990 to 2011 before declining after 2011, frontier analysis highlighted Canada, Ireland, the United States, Japan, and the United Kingdom as nations with significant improvement potential. By 2050, we project that the burden of ILD among middle-aged and elderly populations will remain substantial, with only a slight decline in the ASPR. Conclusion: Globally, the burden of ILD in middle-aged and older populations exhibits a progressive increase; however, marked geographical variations are evident. The Andean Latin American region exhibits particularly elevated burden rates. Consequently, multifaceted interventions-including air quality improvement, tobacco cessation promotion, enhanced availability of high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT), and increased public health awareness of ILD-represent essential strategies to address this burden.

Indexed as

disease epidemiologyforecastfrontal analysisglobal disease burdeninterstitial lung disease

Identifiers

PMID41169423
PMCPMC12570942

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.