Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41165571›Full record

ArticleCancer discovery2026

A Prognostic Signature for Lung Adenocarcinoma in Patients Who Have Never Smoked.

Wei Zhao, Tongwu Zhang, Xing Hua, Phuc H Hoang, Mona Miraftab, Monjoy Saha, John P McElderry, Jian Sang, Olivia W Lee, Caleb Hartman and 59 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer discovery, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

69 authors.

Wei ZhaoDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-5103-3871
Tongwu ZhangDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0003-2124-2706
Xing HuaDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-8346-5887
Phuc H HoangDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-9265-8525
Mona MiraftabDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0009-0002-6903-2986
Monjoy SahaDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-6470-3544
John P McElderryDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0009-0005-9931-3828
Jian SangDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0003-4953-3417
Olivia W LeeDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-5389-6267
Caleb HartmanDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0009-0009-9378-3967
Azhar KhandekarDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-0521-1195
Sunandini SharmaDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0009-0005-5524-1818
Frank J Colón-MatosDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-5069-6662
Samuel Anyaso-SamuelDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-3323-2655
Difei WangDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0003-4088-3859
Kristine JonesDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0003-1584-8920
Amy HutchinsonDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-4962-2711
Belynda HicksDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-8014-4888
Jennifer RosenbaumWestat , Rockville, Maryland.ORCID 0009-0003-5623-0016
Xiaoming ZhongBen May Department for Cancer Research, Department of Human Genetics, Comprehensive Cancer Center, The University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0002-1563-6760
Yang YangBen May Department for Cancer Research, Department of Human Genetics, Comprehensive Cancer Center, The University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0002-5560-2936
Angela C PesatoriDepartment of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-0261-3252
Dario ConsonniFondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico , Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-8935-3843
David C ChristianiDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0002-0301-0242
Kin Chung LeungDepartment of Pathology, The University of Hong Kong, Hongkong, China.ORCID 0009-0006-0123-0926
Maria Pik WongQueen Mary Hospital, The University of Hong Kong, Hongkong, China.ORCID 0000-0003-4028-926X
Marta ManczukDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology and Primary Prevention, Maria Skłodowska-Curie National Research Institute of Oncology, Warshaw, Poland.ORCID 0000-0002-4319-6424
Jolanta LissowskaDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology and Primary Prevention, Maria Skłodowska-Curie National Research Institute of Oncology, Warshaw, Poland.ORCID 0000-0003-2695-5799
Beata ŚwiątkowskaDepartment of Environmental Epidemiology, Nofer Institute of Occupational Medicine, Łódź, Poland.ORCID 0000-0003-3757-3868
Anush MukeriaDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Centre of Oncology, Moscow, Russia.ORCID 0000-0002-6847-9295
Oxana ShanginaDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Centre of Oncology, Moscow, Russia.ORCID 0000-0003-2431-068X
David ZaridzeDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Centre of Oncology, Moscow, Russia.ORCID 0000-0002-2824-3704
Ivana HolcatovaInstitute of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, 2nd Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.ORCID 0000-0002-1366-0337
Dana MatesDepartment of Occupational Health and Toxicology, National Center for Environmental Risk Monitoring, National Institute of Public Health, Bucharest, Romania.ORCID 0000-0002-6219-9807
Sasa MilosavljevicInternational Organisation for Cancer Prevention and Research (IOCPR), Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-4757-4111
Simona OgnjanovicInternational Organisation for Cancer Prevention and Research (IOCPR), Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0003-3412-2156
Milan SavicDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Clinical Center of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-0425-0731
Milica KonticClinic of Pulmonology, Clinical Center of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0003-1285-3812
Valerie GaborieauGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-0210-5215
Paul BrennanGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-0518-8714
Oscar ArrietaThoracic Oncology Unit, Instituto Nacional de Cancerología (INCan), Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID 0000-0002-1164-3779
Yohan BosséInstitut Universitaire de Cardiologie et de Pneumologie de Québec - Université Laval , Quebec City, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3067-3711
Eric S EdellDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.ORCID 0009-0003-7286-1416
Matthew B SchabathDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, Florida.ORCID 0000-0003-3241-3216
Paul HofmanIHU RespirERA, Biobank-BB-0033-0025, Côte d'Azur University, Nice, France.ORCID 0000-0003-0431-9353
Luis MasMedical Oncology Unit, Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Neoplásicas (INEN), Lima, Peru.ORCID 0000-0002-2323-9271
Sai S YendamuriThoracic Surgery, Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, New York.ORCID 0000-0001-6654-3487
Chih-Yi ChenInstitute of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0001-9285-1109
I-Shou ChangNational Institute of Cancer Research, National Health Research Institutes, Zhunan, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-6254-8114
Chao Agnes HsiungInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Zhunan, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0003-1427-6641
Geoffrey LiuDivision of Medical Oncology, Medicine, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2603-7296
Jacobo Martinez SantamaríaBiobanco IBSP-CV FISABIO, Red Valenciana de Biobancos, Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0009-0000-4351-3955
Bonnie E Gould RothbergDepartment of Medicine, Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, Florida.ORCID 0000-0002-8919-4467
Karun MutrejaMolecular and Digital Pathology Laboratory, Cancer Genomics Research Laboratory, Leidos Biomedical Research, Inc., Frederick, Maryland.ORCID 0009-0007-0712-7257
Scott LawrenceCancer Genomics Research Laboratory, Leidos Biomedical Research, Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research, Frederick, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-5297-7978
Nathaniel RothmanDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-6924-0895
Ludmil B AlexandrovDepartment of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California.ORCID 0000-0003-3596-4515
Charles LeducDepartment of Pathology, Centre Hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal, Montreal, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-9477-1479
Marina K BaineDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.ORCID 0000-0003-4939-6491
Philippe JoubertInstitut Universitaire de Cardiologie et de Pneumologie de Québec - Université Laval , Quebec City, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-7784-6387
Lynette M ShollDepartment of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0002-9532-9735
William D TravisDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.ORCID 0000-0003-3160-6729
Robert HomerDepartment of Pathology, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.ORCID 0000-0002-2055-5885
Qing LanDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-0888-8839
Stephen J ChanockDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-2324-3393
Lixing YangBen May Department for Cancer Research, Department of Human Genetics, Comprehensive Cancer Center, The University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0001-9618-2117
Soo-Ryum YangDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.ORCID 0000-0002-1051-502X
Jianxin ShiDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-8606-4707
Maria Teresa LandiDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-9727-7772

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI SELWYN M VICKERS · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
TRANSLATIONAL RESEARCHP30CA076292 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI John L. Cleveland · 1998 to 2026
$93.5M
Genetic EpidemiologyZIACP005803 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI GOLDSTEIN, ALISA · 2009 to 2025
$24.8M
Studies of Genetic and Environmental EpidemiologyZIACP101231 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI LANDI, MARIA · 2018 to 2025
$23.6M
The Boston Lung Cancer Survival CohortU01CA209414 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI David C Christiani · 2017 to 2026
$12.2M
Statistical Methods for Analysis of Massive Genetic and Genomic Data in Cancer ResearchR35CA197449 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI XIHONG LIN · 2015 to 2026
$10.9M
Anne Wojcicki Foundation LC009Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics (DCEG) ZIACP101231Intramural NIH HHS Z99 CA999999Intramural NIH HHS ZIA CP005803Intramural NIH HHS ZIA CP101231Moffitt Cancer Center (MCC) P30-CA076292National Cancer Institute (NCI) U01CA209414NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS P30 CA076292NCI NIH HHS R35 CA197449NCI NIH HHS U01 CA209414World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding tumor cell dynamics can improve prognosis and treatment but remains limited for lung adenocarcinoma in people who have never smoked (NS-LUAD). With RNA sequencing data from 684 NS-LUAD cases and validation in an independent dataset, we identified three subtypes with distinct phenotypic traits and cell compositions. Additional genomic and histologic data further characterized the subtypes. "Steady," marked by low proliferation, high alveolar cell fraction, moderate-to-well differentiation, and fewer driver gene alterations, is linked to prolonged survival and low immune evasion. "Proliferative" shows high proliferation markers, TP53 mutations, and gene fusions. "Chaotic," with high epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition markers, has the worst prognosis, even within stage I tumors. Lacking known molecular or histologic characteristics, this aggressive subtype is solely identified by transcriptomic data. A 60-gene signature recapitulates the classification and predicts survival even within subgroups based on tumor stage or known genomic features, emphasizing its potential for improving early-stage NS-LUAD prognostication in clinical settings. SIGNIFICANCE: The transcriptome of 684 NS-LUAD identifies three subtypes with different cellular dynamics and genomic and morphologic features. A 60-gene signature accurately stratifies subjects for mortality risk, even in stage I, offering a potential clinically applicable tool for treatment decision-making in patients with NS-LUAD. See related commentary by Azizi et al., p. 423.

Indexed as

Adenocarcinoma of LungBiomarkers, TumorLung NeoplasmsAgedFemaleGene Expression ProfilingHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisTranscriptomeBiomarkers, Tumor

Identifiers

PMID41165571
PMCPMC12822368

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