Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41164443›Full record

SynthesisFrontiers in digital health2025

Trends and developments in health systems modeling: a bibliometric analysis.

Kudakwashe Maguraushe, Patrick Ndayizigamiye, Tebogo Bokaba

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Frontiers in digital health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Kudakwashe MagurausheDepartment of Applied Information Systems, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Patrick NdayizigamiyeCentre for Applied Data Science, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Tebogo BokabaDepartment of Applied Information Systems, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Health systems modeling is increasingly used to address complex health challenges and inform policy. Despite its growing importance, the field remains dynamic, with evolving research themes, and global contributions. This study maps the evolution of the field, identifies leading publications, authors, institutions, and countries, and highlights emerging themes to guide future research and collaboration. Methods: A bibliometric analysis was conducted on March 10, 2023, using the Web of Science (WoS) Core Collection for 1992-2023. The search string was "health system*" AND "modelling" OR "modeling." Records were analyzed with Biblioshiny and VOSviewer to compute publication trends, authorship patterns, institutional and country-level contributions, international collaboration, and thematic developments. Results: A total of 2,023 records were retrieved. The annual publication growth rate was 7.53%, with an average of 9.35 co-authors per article and 37.67% international co-authorship. Leading journals included The Lancet and PLOS One, while prominent authors were Blakely T. and Hay S.I. Key contributing institutions were the Tehran University of Medical Sciences and the University of Washington. The United States and the United Kingdom were the most productive countries. Thematic analysis revealed prominent and emerging topics such as "health systems," "modeling," "predictive modeling," and "systems dynamics" suggesting promising directions for future research. Discussion: Findings indicate a dynamic and expanding research landscape with strong international collaboration and concentrated contributions from high-impact journals, established authors, and leading institutions. The study highlights epidemiology and predictive modeling as promising directions for future research and identifies opportunities for international collaboration and publication. The analysis is limited by reliance on a single database (WoS); further studies should integrate additional databases to improve coverage and deepen the findings. The results can inform decisions on collaboration opportunities, suitable publication venues, and key research gaps in health systems modeling.

Indexed as

bibliometric analysishealth systems modelingperformance analysispredictive modelingscience mapping

Identifiers

PMID41164443
PMCPMC12558930

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.