Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41163788›Full record

ArticlePNAS nexus2025

Crowding-out effects of opt-out defaults: Evidence from organ donation policies.

Pascal Güntürkün, Sinika Studte, Daniel Winkler, Michel Clement, Jonathan H W Tan, Eva-Maria Merz, Elisabeth Huis In 't Veld, Eamonn Ferguson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PNAS nexus, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Does opt-out legislation crowd out living organ donations? A cross-country study.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
    Article
  2. Five years after introduction of an opt-out consent system for organ donation; lessons learned from England and the Netherlands.Transplant international : official journal of the European Society for Organ Transplantation · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Pascal GüntürkünDepartment of Marketing, Vienna University of Economics and Business, 1020 Vienna, Austria.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6306-4971
Sinika StudteInstitute for Marketing, University of Hamburg, 20148 Hamburg, Germany.
Daniel WinklerSchool of Marketing, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2033, Australia.
Michel ClementInstitute for Marketing, University of Hamburg, 20148 Hamburg, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6769-6709
Jonathan H W TanDepartment of Economics, School of Social Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore 639798, Singapore.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9714-0664
Eva-Maria MerzDepartment of Sociology, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, 1081HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Elisabeth Huis In 't VeldDepartment of Cognitive Science and Artificial Intelligence, Tilburg School of Humanities and Digital Sciences, Tilburg University, 5037AB Tilburg, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5180-5744
Eamonn FergusonSchool of Psychology, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2RD, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7678-1451

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many of today's pressing societal challenges, such as organ shortages, low vaccination rates, and climate change, require significant changes in individual behavior. One promising intervention to encourage such behavioral change is the opt-out default, which presumes consent for a desirable action rather than requiring active opt-in. While past research focused on the impact of opt-out defaults on the targeted behavior, potential crowding out of related behaviors has been largely overlooked. Here, we investigate whether adopting opt-out policies for deceased organ donation reduces living donations, a related prosocial behavior serving the same public good. Analyzing epidemiological panel data from countries that adopted an opt-out default between 2000 and 2023, we find that the policy switch, on average, leads to a nonsignificant increase in annual

Indexed as

behavioral interventionscrowding-out effectsdefault nudgesorgan donationpublic health policy

Identifiers

PMID41163788
PMCPMC12560092

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.