Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41163126›Full record

ArticleTropical medicine and health2025

Associations between meteorological factors and scrub typhus incidence: a systematic review and meta-analysis of linear and nonlinear dose-response relationships.

Shu Yang, Shu Yang, Jun Guo, Peng Li, Yuling Xu, Fei Hu, Yiting Cui, Ai Peng, Yangqing Liu, Yibing Fan and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tropical medicine and health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Shu YangCenter for Evidence-Based Medicine, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Disease Prevention and Public Health, School of Public Health, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330019, China.
Shu YangThe Collaboration Unit for Field Epidemiology of State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Nanchang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang, 330038, China.
Jun GuoLongnan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ganzhou, 341700, Jiangxi, China.
Peng LiNanfeng Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fuzhou, 344500, Jiangxi, China.
Yuling XuDepartment of Cardiac Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330000, China.
Fei HuDepartment of Cancer Medical Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330019, China.
Yiting CuiCenter for Evidence-Based Medicine, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Disease Prevention and Public Health, School of Public Health, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330019, China.
Ai PengCenter for Evidence-Based Medicine, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Disease Prevention and Public Health, School of Public Health, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330019, China.
Yangqing LiuThe Collaboration Unit for Field Epidemiology of State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Nanchang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang, 330038, China.
Yibing FanThe Collaboration Unit for Field Epidemiology of State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Nanchang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang, 330038, China.
Shihui PengThe Collaboration Unit for Field Epidemiology of State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Nanchang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang, 330038, China.
Hui LiThe Collaboration Unit for Field Epidemiology of State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Nanchang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang, 330038, China. nccdcyjb@163.com.
Peng HuangCenter for Evidence-Based Medicine, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Disease Prevention and Public Health, School of Public Health, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330019, China. huangpengncu@163.com.

Funding

Jiangxi Provincial Graduate Innovation Special Fund Project YC2024-S166Nanchang Healthcare Guided Science and Technology Program Project 2023YLWS018Science and Technology Department of Jiangxi Province 20202BBGL73049
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundScrub typhus is an important zoonotic disease with rising incidence globally. Meteorological factors may influence its transmission dynamics. However, inconsistencies across studies and limited quantitative evidence highlight the need for further investigation.

objectiveTo systematically evaluate the linear and nonlinear associations between various meteorological factors and scrub typhus incidence, explore lagged effects and potential sources of heterogeneity, and analyze inconsistencies in existing findings.

methodWe searched PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Embase for studies published up to February 2025. Relevant articles were identified based on predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. We conducted linear meta-analyses to assess the effects of unit changes in meteorological factors and dose-response meta-analyses to evaluate cumulative lagged risks across different exposure levels. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore sources of heterogeneity and assess result robustness.

resultsSeventeen studies were included, covering China, Korea, Laos, and India. Eleven studies contributed to linear meta-analyses, and six to dose-response analyses. Ambient temperature (RR 1.08, 95% CI 1.02-1.16), land surface temperature (RR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.09), precipitation (RR 1.01, 95% CI 1.01-1.02), relative humidity (RR 1.07, 95% CI 1.04-1.11), and atmospheric pressure (RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.91-1.23) were positively associated with the risk of scrub typhus. Wind speed (RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.49-0.71) and sunshine duration (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.77-1.10) exhibited negative associations. Dose-response meta-analysis revealed inverted U-shaped relationships for ambient temperature and relative humidity, and a unimodal pattern for precipitation, with risk increasing continuously at high levels. Significant lag effects were observed: precipitation had the most immediate effect (lag0: RR 1.05), while ambient temperature (lag1: RR 1.18) and relative humidity (lag2: RR 1.28) peaked with a 1- to 2-month delay. Geographic variation was identified as a major source of between-study heterogeneity.

conclusionAlthough this study has certain limitations, including the small number of included studies, their concentration mainly in China, and the presence of substantial heterogeneity, the results provide evidence of linear and nonlinear associations between meteorological factors and scrub typhus incidence, and highlight the roles of geographical variation and lag effects. These findings offer quantitative evidence and scientific support for disease prevention and control in the context of climate change.

Indexed as

Meta-analysisMeteorological factorsRisk factorScrub typhusWeather

Identifiers

PMID41163126
PMCPMC12570654

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.