Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41158356›Full record

ReviewJournal of thoracic disease2025

Evaluation of progression-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival in small cell lung cancer: a systematic review.

Guo Lin, Fan Ge, Chao Yang, Ying Huang

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Journal of thoracic disease, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Guo Lin *Department of Thoracic Surgery and Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Disease, the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Fan Ge *Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Chao YangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery and Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Disease, the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Ying HuangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery and Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Disease, the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Patients with small cell lung cancer (SCLC) face a poor prognosis and have limited treatment options, which has prompted the initiation of clinical trials. Overall survival (OS) is the gold-standard endpoint in clinical trials, reflects the benefits patients derive from interventions. Nevertheless, utilizing OS as an endpoint in clinical trials requires large sample sizes and greater financial supports than using progression-free survival (PFS). This study aims to evaluate whether PFS can serve as a surrogate endpoint for OS, thereby conserving human and financial resources in SCLC clinical trials. Methods: We conducted a systematic review of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) from online databases (PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Central Library) and international conferences up to January 1, 2025. Hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS and OS, as well as PFS and OS rates, were collected. Weighted linear regression analyses were performed to assess the correlation between PFS benefit and OS benefit, with subgroup analyses based on treatment lines and the trial phase. Results: A total of 43 RCTs involving 15,119 patients with SCLC were analyzed, including 28 trials focusing on treatment-naïve patients and 15 trials evaluating non-first-line therapies. PFS exhibited a moderate correlation with OS benefit in treatment-naïve patients, particularly for those receiving first-line immunotherapy. Moreover, the 1-year PFS rate showed a strong association with the 1.5-year OS in first-line trials and 2-year OS in subsequent-line trials. No significant correlation was observed in patients who had received prior treatments. Conclusions: This study supports the utilization of PFS as a surrogate endpoint for OS in clinical trials involving treatment-naïve SCLC patients, especially receiving first-line immunotherapy. This finding can enhance the efficiency of clinical trial design and facilitate the evaluation of novel therapeutic interventions in this challenging patient population.

Indexed as

overall survival (OS)progression-free survival (PFS)Small cell lung cancer (SCLC)surrogate endpoint

Identifiers

PMID41158356
PMCPMC12557674

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.