Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41152934›Full record

ArticleArthritis research & therapy2025

Epidemiological trends of osteoarthritis at the global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2050.

Lichun Qiao, Miaoqian Li, Feidan Deng, Xinyue Wen, Huan Deng, Zhaowei Xue, Jingxuan Zhou, Jinyan Lin, Abebe Feyissa Amhare, Rongqi Xiang and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis research & therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. The Role of Myeloperoxidase in Osteoarthritis and Its Potential Modulation by Resveratrol: An Integrated Study.FASEB journal : official publication of the Federation of American Societies for Experimental Biology · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Lichun QiaoDepartment of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710054, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6739-0846
Miaoqian LiSchool of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710061, China.ORCID 0009-0002-0620-6010
Feidan DengSchool of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710061, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5576-7776
Xinyue WenSchool of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710061, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6875-5467
Huan DengSchool of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710061, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4298-3581
Zhaowei XueSchool of Pharmacy, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710061, China.ORCID 0009-0003-6372-0726
Jingxuan ZhouSchool of Urban Planning and Design, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen, 518055, China.ORCID 0009-0006-8068-4124
Jinyan LinThe Second Affiliated Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710004, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9730-3643
Abebe Feyissa AmhareThe Second Affiliated Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710004, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5252-3653
Rongqi XiangSchool of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710061, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0582-8926
Xiangyu FanThe Second Affiliated Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710004, China.ORCID 0009-0009-9831-0851
Jun WangDepartment of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710054, China. jackey_886@163.com.
Jing HanSchool of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710061, China. bbbishop@126.com.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81872567
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOsteoarthritis is a major cause of disability worldwide, and understanding epidemiological trends in osteoarthritis is critical for public health planning and intervention strategies.

methodsThis study analyzed the global, regional, and national burden on osteoarthritis utilizing the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Trends from 1990 to 2021 were primarily assessed, with projections to 2050 based on demographic changes and historical data.

resultsIn 2021, 607 (95% UI: 538-671) million people worldwide suffered from osteoarthritis, including 46.6 (95% UI: 41.1-51.6) million new cases, and the DALYs was 21.3 (95% UI: 10.2-42.9) million. Age-standardized incidence, prevalence and DALYs rates increased to 535.00/100,000 (95% UI: 472.38-591.97), 6967.29/100,000 (95% UI: 6180.70-7686.06), and 244.50/100,000 (95% UI: 117.06-493.11), with knee osteoarthritis accounting for more than 56%. Age-standardized rates of osteoarthritis were higher in females than in males. East Asia, South Asia, and Western Europe were the regions and China, India, and the United States were the countries with the highest burdens. In addition, high body-mass index led to 4.43 (95% UI: -0.42-12.34) million DALYs, with an increase of 205.10%. Bayesian age-period cohort projections showed that the burden of osteoarthritis would continue to rise from 2021 to 2050.

conclusionsAs an ageing population and rising obesity rates, the burden of osteoarthritis will continue to rise, with females and the middle-aged and older age groups being the current populations of concern. Awareness-raising, early detection, and effective management are essential to reduce the burden of osteoarthritis in the coming decades, especially among vulnerable groups.

Indexed as

OsteoarthritisAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceYoung AdultAging populationsDisability-adjusted life yearsDisease burdenHigh body-mass indexOsteoarthritis

Identifiers

PMID41152934
PMCPMC12570834

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.