Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41152423›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Turkish freshwaters as a case of rising invasion risk of aquarium fishes under climate change.

Baran Yoğurtçuoğlu, Ali Serhan Tarkan, F Güler Ekmekçi, Şerife Gülsün Kırankaya, Irmak Kurtul, Derya Özcan, Onur Karadal, Fikret Öndes, Gürel Türkmen, Hasan M Sarı and 2 more

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In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Baran YoğurtçuoğluHydrobiology Section, Department of Biology, Faculty of Science, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye. yokbaran@gmail.com.
Ali Serhan TarkanFaculty of Biology and Environmental Protection, Department of Ecology and Vertebrate Zoology, University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
F Güler EkmekçiHydrobiology Section, Department of Biology, Faculty of Science, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye.
Şerife Gülsün KırankayaDepartment of Biology, Faculty of Arts and Science, Düzce University, Düzce, Türkiye.
Irmak KurtulDepartment of Marine-Inland Waters Sciences and Technology, Faculty of Fisheries, Ege University, Izmir, Türkiye.
Derya ÖzcanMinistry of Agriculture and Forestry, Department of Resource Management and Fisheries Structures, General Directorate of Fisheries and Aquaculture, Ankara, Türkiye.
Onur KaradalDepartment of Aquaculture, Faculty of Fisheries, Izmir Katip Çelebi University, Izmir, Türkiye.
Fikret ÖndesDepartment of Fisheries and Food Processing Technology, Faculty of Fisheries, Izmir Katip Çelebi University, Izmir, Türkiye.
Gürel TürkmenDepartment of Aquaculture, Faculty of Fisheries, Ege University, Izmir, Türkiye.
Hasan M SarıDepartment of Marine-Inland Waters Sciences and Technology, Faculty of Fisheries, Ege University, Izmir, Türkiye.
Phillip J HaubrockDepartment of River Ecology and Conservation, Senckenberg Research Institute and Natural History, Frankfurt, Germany.
Lorenzo VilizziFaculty of Biology and Environmental Protection, Department of Ecology and Vertebrate Zoology, University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is expected to increase the invasiveness of non-native aquarium fish, yet national assessments rarely consider future warming conditions. We screened 46 popular ornamental freshwater fish imported into Türkiye for invasion risk. Each species received a Basic Risk Assessment (BRA) score under current conditions and an adjusted Climate Change Assessment (CCA) score under regional warming scenarios. The BRA classified 12 species (26.1%) as high risk, while under the CCA, this rose to 16 species (34.8%). Four species, namely goldfish Carassius auratus, common carp Cyprinus carpio, vermiculated sailfin catfish Pterygoplichthys disjunctivus, and leopard pleco P. gibbiceps, reached very high-risk status. Climate change adjustment resulted in an increase in the basic scores for 34 species, a decrease for three, and no change for nine. Seven species achieved the maximum increment of + 12 under predicted climate change conditions. Our results show that marginal habitats, such as thermal springs and effluent canals, could become suitable for these species, even as water stress in Central Anatolia threatens both native and invasive species. We recommend dynamic, climate-aware risk protocols, combined with empirical validation via field and eDNA monitoring, and a precautionary 'whitelist' import system based on robust risk screening protocols as applied in this study.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeFishesFresh WaterIntroduced SpeciesAnimalsEcosystemRisk AssessmentTurkeyAquatic invasionsAquatic species invasiveness screening kitOrnamental fishPet tradeThermal springs

Identifiers

PMID41152423
PMCPMC12569148

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.