Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41152285›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Spatiotemporal changes in heat stress exposure in India, 1981-2023.

Arpit Shah, Anish Sugathan, Deepak Malghan, Rockli Kim, S V Subramanian

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Arpit ShahCentre for Public Policy, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore, Bengaluru, India.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9789-0107
Anish SugathanStrategy, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Ahmedabad, India.
Deepak MalghanCentre for Public Policy, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore, Bengaluru, India.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0872-6896
Rockli KimDivision of Health Policy and Management, College of Health Science, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea.
S V SubramanianHarvard Center for Population and Development Studies, Cambridge, MA, USA. svsubram@hsph.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2365-4165

Funding

Gates Foundation INV-002992
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

India is amongst the most susceptible regions in the world to extreme heat stress because of climate change. In this study, we present a comprehensive analysis of the spatiotemporal evolution of heat stress exposure (HSE) across India's districts, which serve as the primary administrative units below the State level. Our analysis covers a long temporal duration (1981-2023) and uses data with high spatial (0.1°) and temporal granularity (hourly). By focusing on the district, we ensure that our findings are relevant for policymakers. We find a 3.3% increase in the average HSE duration across districts when comparing 1981-1995 and 2011-2023. We provide evidence for variation in the evolution of HSE by time of day, time of year, and across regions in India. We also provide estimates of changes in outdoor occupational exposure from 2019-2023. Our research highlights the importance of considering HSE in addition to average temperature changes and has important implications for public health practitioners and policymakers.

Identifiers

PMID41152285
PMCPMC12569015

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.