Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41148274›Full record

ReviewEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2026

The long-term clinical course of non-surgically treated lumbar spinal stenosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Seán Mc Auliffe, Ed Kirby, David Mockler, Abdulaziz Farooq, Sarah Trine Fogh Johansson, Rikke Krüger Jensen, Casper Nim, Kieran O'Sullivan

Abstract readReview
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Review in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Seán Mc AuliffeSchool of Allied Health, University of Limerick, Limerick, Ireland. sean.m.mcauliffe@ul.ie.
Ed KirbyEssex Partnership University NHS Foundation Trust, Wickford, UK.
David MocklerJohn Stearne Library, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Abdulaziz FarooqDepartment of Research, Qatar Orthopaedic and Sports Medicine Hospital, Doha, Qatar.
Sarah Trine Fogh JohanssonMedical Research Unit, Spine Centre of Southern Denmark, Unversity Hospital of Southern Denmark, Kolding, Denmark.
Rikke Krüger JensenChiropractic Knowledge Hub, Odense, Denmark.
Casper NimMedical Research Unit, Spine Centre of Southern Denmark, Unversity Hospital of Southern Denmark, Kolding, Denmark.
Kieran O'SullivanSchool of Allied Health, University of Limerick, Limerick, Ireland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeLumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) is a common degenerative spinal condition in older adults. Greater understanding of the long-term clinical course of symptomatic LSS is needed to determine prognosis with non-surgical interventions. This systematic review aimed to model the long-term clinical course of pain and disability in adults with LSS.

methodsThe review was prospectively registered (PROSPERO-CRD42024508181). A comprehensive keyword search was completed. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality In Prognosis Studies tool (QUIPS). The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) system evaluated the certainty of evidence. Meta-regression analysis was performed to study longitudinal changes in pain (scale 0-10) and disability (sale 0-100).

results18 studies were included. Some form of multimodal intervention was most offered (13/18 studies). Pooled mean scores for pain were highest at baseline 5.66 [95% CI 5.15; 6.15] with reductions at 6 months 4.75 [95% CI 4.30; 5.19], 12 months 3.54 [95% CI 2.86; 4.20], and beyond 12 months 4.01 [95% CI 3.43; 4.58]. For disability, the pooled mean score at baseline was 35.07 [95% CI 29.30; 40.83], 26.08 [95% CI 15.51; 36.65] at 6 months, and 25.44 [95% CI 17.99; 32.89] at 12 months. The certainty of evidence for both pain and disability was low.

conclusionThere is low certainty evidence that individuals with LSS experience reductions of up to one-third in pain and disability in the first year after non-surgical intervention. There is little further improvement in pain or disability beyond one-year and up to five years.

Indexed as

Back painClinical coursePrognosisStenosis

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.