Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41142005›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in pediatrics2025

Accurate prediction of sepsis from pediatric emergency department to PICU using a machine-learning model.

Xuan Shi, Xuying Wang, Haomei Yang, Xiaowei Fan, Guangming Liu, Yongling Song, Qiuyan Peng, Qiang Wang, Xin Sun, Wencheng Ma and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in pediatrics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Xuan Shi *Pediatric Emergency Department, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Child Health, Guangzhou, China.
Xuying Wang *Ewell Technology Company, Hangzhou, China.
Haomei Yang *Pediatric Emergency Department, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Child Health, Guangzhou, China.
Xiaowei FanPediatric Emergency Department, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Child Health, Guangzhou, China.
Guangming LiuPediatric Emergency Department, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Child Health, Guangzhou, China.
Yongling SongPediatric Emergency Department, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Child Health, Guangzhou, China.
Qiuyan PengPediatric Emergency Department, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Child Health, Guangzhou, China.
Qiang WangPediatric Emergency Department, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Child Health, Guangzhou, China.
Xin SunMedical Department of Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Child Health, Guangzhou, China.
Wencheng MaPediatric Emergency Department, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Child Health, Guangzhou, China.
Peiqing LiPediatric Emergency Department, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Child Health, Guangzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Timely identification of pediatric sepsis remains a critical challenge in emergency and intensive care settings due to the heterogeneous clinical presentations across age groups. Existing scoring systems often lack temporal resolution and interpretability. We aimed to develop a real-time, machine learning-based prediction framework integrating static and dynamic electronic health record (EHR) features to support early sepsis detection. Methods: This retrospective study included pediatric patients from Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center (GWCMC; Results: The CTWH + MGP-XGBoost model achieved the highest AUROC at diagnosis time (T = 0 h; AUROC = 0.915), while the GRU-based model demonstrated superior temporal stability across early windows. Top contributing features included lactate, white blood cell count, pH, and vasopressor use. External validation confirmed generalizability (MIMIC-III AUROC = 0.905). Simulation of real-time alerts showed a median lead time of 6.2 h before clinical diagnosis, with Conclusions: Our results suggest that a dual-model ensemble combining interpolation-based preprocessing and interpretable machine learning enables robust early sepsis detection in pediatric populations. The system supports integration into EHR platforms for real-time clinical alerts and may inform prospective trials and quality improvement initiatives.

Indexed as

early warningelectronic health recordsmachine learningpediatric sepsisrecurrent neural networkSHAPXGBoost

Identifiers

PMID41142005
PMCPMC12550503

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.