Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41139183›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgical oncology2026

Long-Term Survival and Beneficiaries of Adjuvant Anti-PD-1 Therapy in Resected Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Bin Guo, Chu Luo, Yuanxiang Lu, Yang Wu, Shenjie Xie, Feng Xia, Yonglin Hua, Jinghan Zhu, Guangzhen Cai, Hong Zhu and 7 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgical oncology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Bin Guo *Hepatic Surgery Center, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Chu Luo *Hepatic Surgery Center, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Yuanxiang Lu *Department of Breast Surgery, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou University People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, China.
Yang Wu *Hepatic Surgery Center, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Shenjie Xie *Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Feng Xia *Hepatic Surgery Center, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Yonglin HuaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Jinghan ZhuHepatic Surgery Center, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Guangzhen CaiHepatic Surgery Center, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Hong ZhuDepartment of Medical Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Jiangsu, China.
Hui ZhangDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Oncology, Clinical Oncology School of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fuzhou, China.
Yongyi ZengMengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, People's Republic of China.
Fan ZhangDepartment of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Binzhou Medical College, Binzhou, China.
Changzhen ShangDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Enyu LiuOrgan Transplant Department, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China. liuenyu@163.com.
Guandou YuanDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China. dr_yuangd@gxmu.edu.cn.
Wanguang ZhangHepatic Surgery Center, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. wgzhang@tjh.tjmu.edu.cn.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82173319special Fund for Science and Technology Innovation of Hubei Province SCZ202461Tongji Hospital Clinical Research Fund 2024TJCR004
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly and late hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrences, which are driven by residual and de novo tumors, respectively, differ in biology and potential treatment susceptibility. The effectiveness of adjuvant PD-1 inhibitors (aPD-1) across these distinct recurrence patterns remains unclear. PATIENTS AND

methodsA total of 3436 cases were included from 9 centers in China. Among these, 1662 patients (2019-2023) were propensity score-matched to compare the effects of aPD-1 versus active surveillance on survival outcomes. Machine learning (ML) models were trained on 1774 patients (2014-2018) to predict early recurrence (≤ 2 years). The efficacy of aPD-1 was further assessed in ML-predicted subgroups, using a 2-year landmark analysis to evaluate its effect on recurrence etiology.

resultsThe logistic regression model achieved the best performance, with an AUC of 0.818 in the test set. Patients classified as high risk showed significantly poorer disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival. aPD-1 significantly improved DFS in high-risk patients (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.57-0.84, p < 0.001), but no benefit was observed in low-risk patients (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.71-1.39, p = 0.950). Landmark analysis further demonstrated that aPD-1 preferentially reduced early recurrence in high-risk HCC (HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.54-0.83, p < 0.001), while showing limited efficacy against late recurrence (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.49-1.31, p = 0.380).

conclusionsaPD-1 demonstrates time-dependent efficacy, primarily reducing early recurrence through controlling residual micro-metastases rather than preventing de novo tumors. A ML model accurately identified patients most likely to benefit, highlighting the importance of risk-guided adjuvant therapy.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularHepatectomyImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsLiver NeoplasmsNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalProgrammed Cell Death 1 ReceptorAgedChemotherapy, AdjuvantFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsPDCD1 protein, humanProgrammed Cell Death 1 ReceptorAdjuvant therapyHepatocellular carcinomaLiver resectionPD-1 inhibitorsRecurrence

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.