Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41137464›Full record

SynthesisEuropean journal of endocrinology2025

Thyroid antibody status, thyroid function, and the risk of coronary heart disease and stroke: an individual participant data analysis from 14 cohorts.

Ola Hysaj, Orestis Efthimiou, Tinh-Hai Collet, Anne R Cappola, Heba Alwan, Jacobijn Gussekloo, Layal Chaker, Maryam Kavousi, Fereidoun Azizi, Anna Köttgen and 18 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in European journal of endocrinology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors.

Ola HysajInstitute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-5669-0210
Orestis EfthimiouInstitute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.
Tinh-Hai ColletService of Endocrinology and Diabetology, Department of Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals (HUG), 1205 Geneva, Switzerland.
Anne R CappolaPerelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, United States.
Heba AlwanInstitute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-5516-6022
Jacobijn GusseklooDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-7186-8278
Layal ChakerInternal Medicine, Erasmus Medical Center, 3015 GD Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-7855-5418
Maryam KavousiInternal Medicine, Erasmus Medical Center, 3015 GD Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-5976-6519
Fereidoun AziziEndocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, 1985717413 Tehran, Iran.
Anna KöttgenDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, United States.
Elizabeth SelvinDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-3539-2070
Stella TrompetSection Gerontology and Geriatrics, Department of Internal Medicine, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands.
John P WalshDiscipline of Internal Medicine, University of Western Australia Medical School, Perth, WA 6009, Australia.
Suzanne J BrownDiscipline of Internal Medicine, University of Western Australia Medical School, Perth, WA 6009, Australia.
Massimo IacovielloDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, 71122 Foggia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-9613-5062
Robin P F DullaartDepartment of Internal Medicine, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, 9700 RB Groningen, the Netherlands.
Stephan J L BakkerDepartment of Internal Medicine, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, 9700 RB Groningen, the Netherlands.
José A SgarbiFaculdade de Medicina de Marília, 17519-030 Marilia, São Paulo, Brazil.
Till IttermannInstitute for Community Medicine, Clinical-Epidemiological Research, University Medicine Greifswald, 17475 Greifswald, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0154-7353
Henry VölzkeInstitute for Community Medicine, Clinical-Epidemiological Research, University Medicine Greifswald, 17475 Greifswald, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7003-399X
Isabela M BenseñorCenter of Clinical and Epidemiological Research, University Hospital of the University of São Paulo, 01246-903 São Paulo, Brazil.
Sergio ValdésDepartment of Endocrinology and Nutrition, Hospital Regional Universitario de Málaga/Universidad de Málaga, Instituto de Investigación Biomedica de Málaga (IBIMA), CIBERDEM, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 29010 Malaga, Spain.
Cristina Maldonado-AraqueDepartment of Endocrinology and Nutrition, Hospital Regional Universitario de Málaga/Universidad de Málaga, Instituto de Investigación Biomedica de Málaga (IBIMA), CIBERDEM, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 29010 Malaga, Spain.
Bruce M PsatyCardiovascular Health Research Unit, Departments of Medicine, Epidemiology, and Health Systems and Population Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98101, United States.
Frank J WoltersInternal Medicine, Erasmus Medical Center, 3015 GD Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Bjørn O ÅsvoldHUNT Center for Molecular and Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Public Health and Nursing, NTNU, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, 7491 Trondheim, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-3837-2101
Cinzia Del GiovaneInstitute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-5028-932X
Nicolas RodondiInstitute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-9083-6896

Funding

Exceptional Survival: Trajectories to Functional Aging (CHS All Stars)R01AG023629 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI NEWMAN, ANNE B. · 2004 to 2016
$9.5M
CHARGE Consortium: Omics Discovery for CVD and Aging PhenotypesR01HL105756 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Bruce M Psaty, NICHOLAS L SMITH · 2011 to 2026
$9.5M
CARDIOVASCULAR HEALTH STUDY (CHS) - TASK AREA C, STUDY CLOSEOUT75N92021D00006 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE · 2021 to 2024
$8.4M
CHS research resources for the cardiovascular health of older adultsU01HL130114 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI BURKE, GREGORY L, KRONMAL, RICHARD A · 2016 to 2019
$6.6M
CHS Events Follow-up StudyU01HL080295 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE M · 2005 to 2008
$4.6M
Infrastructure for mentored access to CHS data and specimensR01HL172803 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI James S Floyd, Michelle Christina Odden · 2025 to 2026
$2.7M
Midcareer Investigator Award in Patient-Oriented Research in AgingK24AG042765 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI CAPPOLA, ANNE R · 2013 to 2024
$1.7M
Subclinical thyroid dysfunction in the elderlyR01AG032317 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI CAPPOLA, ANNE R · 2009 to 2013
$1.4M
CORONARY HEART DISEASE &STROKE IN THE ELDERLYN01HC085080 · HC · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY · PI BURKE, GREGORY L · 1988 to 2000
–
CORONARY HEART DISEASE &STROKE IN PEOPLE AGED 65-84N01HC085081 · HC · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FRIED, LINDA P · 1988 to 2000
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CORONARY HEART DISEASE &STROKE IN PEOPLE AGED 65 TO 84N01HC085079 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · 1988 to 2005
–
CENTRAL BLOOD ANALYSIS LABORATORY FOR CHSN01HC085086 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT &ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI TRACY, RUSSELL P · 1988 to 2000
–
NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021D00006NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268200800007CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201200036CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800001CNHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085079NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085080NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085081NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085082NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085083NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085086NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL105756NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL172803NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL080295NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL130114NIA NIH HHS K24 AG042765NIA NIH HHS R01 AG023629NIA NIH HHS R01 AG032317Swiss National Science Foundation SNSF 32003B_200606
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe association of thyroid peroxidase antibodies (TPOAb) status with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, independent of thyroid function, remains unclear. We aimed to determine whether positive TPOAb is associated with increased CVD risk, overall and among individuals with subclinical hypothyroidism.

methodsWe conducted a 2-stage individual participant data analysis including cohort studies identified through the Thyroid Studies Collaboration and systematic database searches (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Library) through November 2024. Primary outcomes were coronary heart disease (CHD) events, CHD mortality, stroke events, and stroke mortality. We used Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age, sex, and thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) within each cohort, followed by a random-effects meta-analysis to assess cardiovascular outcomes by TPOAb status, overall and in the subclinical hypothyroidism subgroup.

resultsAmong 100 250 adults from 14 cohort studies (median age 55 years, 56.7% women), 11.9% were TPOAb-positive, and 5.4% had subclinical hypothyroidism. In the overall population, we found no evidence of increased CVD risk in TPOAb-positive compared to TPOAb-negative individuals: Hazard ratio (HR) 1.00 (95% CI 0.90-1.11) for CHD events; HR 0.95 (95% CI 0.78-1.16) for CHD mortality; HR 0.98 (95% CI 0.87-1.11) for stroke events; and HR 1.06 (95% CI 0.81-1.40) for stroke mortality. In subclinical hypothyroidism, positive TPOAb was similarly not associated with increased risk for any of the CVD outcomes.

conclusionsPositive TPOAb status was not associated with increased risk of CHD or stroke. These findings do not support the use of TPOAb testing for cardiovascular risk assessment in the overall population or among individuals with subclinical hypothyroidism.

Indexed as

AutoantibodiesCoronary DiseaseHypothyroidismIodide PeroxidaseStrokeThyroid GlandAdultAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsAutoantibodiesIodide Peroxidasecardiovascular diseaseindividual participant data analysissubclinical hypothyroidismthyroid peroxidase antibodies

Identifiers

PMID41137464
PMCPMC13200528

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.