Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41131512›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2025

Causal loop diagramming the dynamics that shape food environments in Dutch supermarkets.

Cédric N H Middel, Chiara Colizzi, Wilma Waterlander, S Coosje Dijkstra, Joline W J Beulens, Joreintje D Mackenbach

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Cédric N H MiddelEpidemiology & Data Science, Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands. c.n.h.middel@vu.nl.
Chiara ColizziEpidemiology & Data Science, Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Wilma WaterlanderPublic and Occupational Health, Amsterdam , UMC Location University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
S Coosje DijkstraAmsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Joline W J BeulensEpidemiology & Data Science, Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Joreintje D MackenbachEpidemiology & Data Science, Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Funding

Netherlands Heart Foundation; ZonMw CVON2016-07 LIKENWO small projects for NWA-routes NWA.1418.22.003ZonMw Vidi grant 09150172210046
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFood-retail environments are often dominated by unhealthy products, which facilitates unhealthy diets. Limited insight into the factors in the commercial food system that cause this issue makes effective health interventions in retail settings difficult. This study explores the factors and dynamics of the Dutch commercial food system that determine the availability of healthy and unhealthy food in Dutch supermarkets.

methodsThe study developed and analysed a causal loop diagram (CLD) of the factors and dynamics that determine in-store food availability. Data was collected through semi-structured interviews with food system professionals (n = 14) and a focus group with academic experts (n = 6), based on the leading question 'what determines the in-store availability of a product?' Transcripts were qualitatively coded to identify factors and their interactions. These were visualised in a CLD and subsequently examined to identify causal loops and other dynamics.

resultsThe CLD revealed a core feedback loop between in-store product availability, sales, and pricing, and how this interacted with consumer behaviour and production and supply. Products that sell well and have large profit margins are made more available. Consumers generally buy products that are tasty and affordable, while products with low production and supply costs have better profit margins. These factors favour abundant availability of products consisting of cheap and highly palatable unhealthy ingredients, leading to a reinforcing feedback loop that disadvantages availability of more costly and perishable healthy products. Competition and innovation further emphasise this dynamic, as producers strive to reduce costs and increase palatability in a race to the bottom. Societal interest in health presents a minor feedback loop that favours healthy products due to their positive public image.

conclusionsOur findings show that the prevalence of unhealthy products compared to healthy ones is deeply ingrained in the current system dynamics. Policy recommendations include facilitating sustainable corporate governance models, adjusting financial incentives via taxes and subsidies, and enforcing a 'level playing field' for healthier business practices.

Indexed as

CommerceConsumer BehaviorFood MarketsFood SupplyFocus GroupsHumansNetherlandsCommercial determinants of healthFood environmentPreventionPublic healthSystems scienceSystems thinking

Identifiers

PMID41131512
PMCPMC12548238

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.