Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41127856›Full record

ArticleJournal of pain research2025

Current Status, Trends, and Forecast Analysis of LBP Disease Burden Attributable to Occupational Ergonomic Factors in China.

Xueneng Yang, Ruijuan Li, Jun Shu, Hanbo Chen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of pain research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. [Current status and Joinpoint regression analysis of the burden of musculoskeletal diseases in China from 1990 to 2023].Zhongguo xiu fu chong jian wai ke za zhi = Zhongguo xiufu chongjian waike zazhi = Chinese journal of reparative and reconstructive surgery · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Xueneng YangDepartment of Traumatic Orthopedics, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, Yunnan, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0004-4760-4511
Ruijuan LiDepartment of Burn, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, Yunnan, People's Republic of China.
Jun ShuDepartment of Traumatic Orthopedics, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, Yunnan, People's Republic of China.
Hanbo ChenDepartment of Traumatic Orthopedics, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, Yunnan, People's Republic of China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: With the acceleration of population aging and industrial structural transformation in China, LBP related to occupational ergonomic factors has become an increasingly serious public health issue. This study aims to assess the disease burden of LBP caused by occupational ergonomic factors in China, reveal its long-term trends, key driving factors, and future changes, fill existing research gaps, and provide scientific evidence for optimizing occupational health policies and intervention strategies for high-risk populations. Methods: Data on Years Lived with Disability (YLDs), YLD rates, and age-standardized YLD rates for occupational ergonomics-related LBP from 1990 to 2021 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze temporal trends. Age-period-cohort (APC) models assessed the effects of age, time period, and birth cohort. Decomposition analysis quantified contributions from population aging, epidemiological shifts, and growth. Bayesian APC (BAPC) models projected disease burden trends through 2040. Results: In 2021, China had 3.314 million YLDs from occupational ergonomics-related LBP, with a crude YLD rate of 232.9/100,000 and an age-standardized rate of 178.4/100,000. Women and individuals aged 50-54 bore higher burdens. From 1990 to 2021, total YLDs slightly increased, but YLD rate and age-standardized rate declined annually by 0.3% and 1.5%, respectively. APC modeling revealed significant period and cohort effects. Decomposition analysis identified epidemiological changes as the primary driver of burden shifts. Projections indicate that by 2040, age-standardized YLD rates will fall to 194.3/100,000, but total YLDs will rise among people aged 60+, reflecting aging and cumulative occupational exposure. Conclusion: Occupational ergonomic-related LBP remains a significant burden in China, especially among older and high-risk workers. Although the per capita burden is decreasing, demographic shifts and work-related exposures will sustain overall burden. Comprehensive ergonomic interventions and targeted prevention for high-risk groups are essential for improving occupational health and guiding policy development.

Indexed as

age-period-cohort modeldisease burdenLBPoccupational ergonomic factorstrend prediction

Identifiers

PMID41127856
PMCPMC12537520

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.