Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41127542›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in dental medicine2025

Global, regional and national burden of deciduous dental caries from 1990 to 2021: analysis of risk factors and prediction of trends in 2035.

Hong Yang, Yong Feng, Li-Yuan Xiao, Kai-Mei Wang, Hong-Chao Feng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in dental medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hong Yang *Department of Prosthodontics, Guiyang Hospital of Stomatology, Guiyang, China.
Yong Feng *ZBH-Center for Bioinformatics, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.
Li-Yuan XiaoDepartment of Prosthodontics, Guiyang Hospital of Stomatology, Guiyang, China.
Kai-Mei WangDepartment of Prosthodontics, Guiyang Hospital of Stomatology, Guiyang, China.
Hong-Chao FengDepartment of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Division of Regenerative Orofacial Medicine, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background/aim: Early childhood caries (ECC) is one of the most prevalent global oral health issues in children under five years old, significantly impacting their overall health and quality of life. This study aimed to analyze the global, regional, and national burden of ECC from 1990 to 2021, identify associated risk factors, and predict trends through 2040. It further examined the influence of socio-demographic factors, sex, and age on ECC incidence and prevalence. Patients and methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database were analyzed using Bayesian Meta-Regression models to estimate ECC incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) across 204 countries and regions. Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) levels, sex, and age-specific trends were assessed. Age-standardized rates and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated. Predictive models, including ARIMA, were developed to forecast future trends. Results: Between 1990 and 2021, ECC incidence and prevalence showed modest declines globally, with significant variations across SDI regions. High SDI regions exhibited the lowest burden due to effective public health measures, while medium and low SDI regions faced persistent challenges. Sex disparities were observed, with males showing slightly higher rates than females. Children aged 5-9 years bore the highest burden of ECC. Predictions for 2040 indicate a potential rebound in ECC incidence in low and medium SDI regions without targeted interventions. Conclusion: This study highlights the substantial burden of ECC, particularly in under-resourced regions, and underscores the need for tailored public health strategies. Effective prevention, improved healthcare access, and education are critical to reducing ECC burden globally, ensuring better oral health outcomes for children, and addressing disparities across socio-economic, sex, and age groups.

Indexed as

ARIMA modeldeciduous dental cariesglobal burden of diseasepublic healthsocio-demographic index

Identifiers

PMID41127542
PMCPMC12537661

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.