Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41127029›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of women's health2025

Global Burden and Future Trends of Polycystic Ovary Syndrome: Insights from the GBD 2021 Study.

Ren Xu, Xinjun Li, Lu Sang, Luyang Su, Liyun Song, Yanan Ren, Jianzhi Su

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of women's health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ren Xu *Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Xinjun Li *Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Lu Sang *Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Luyang Su *Physical Examination Center, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Liyun Song *Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Yanan Ren *Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Jianzhi Su *Department of Urology Surgery, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0006-0414-6391

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is a common endocrine disorder affecting women of reproductive age, defined by hyperandrogenism, ovulatory dysfunction, and polycystic ovarian morphology. It is associated with infertility, metabolic abnormalities, and an increased cardiovascular risk. This study provides an updated and comprehensive analysis of PCOS burden from 1990 to 2021 using the latest Global Burden of Disease (GBD) dataset, focusing on trends, regional disparities, and future projections. Methods: Data on the prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with PCOS were obtained from the GBD 2021. Temporal trends were evaluated using estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). Regional disparities were examined by stratifying data according to the socio-demographic index (SDI). Age-Period-Cohort (APC) modeling was employed to investigate disease dynamics across age groups and birth cohorts, while Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) models were utilized to project global burden trends through 2036. Results: In 2021, there were 65.8 million prevalent cases, 1.18 million incident cases, and 0.58 million DALYs due to PCOS globally. Middle SDI regions showed the highest growth rates in prevalence (EAPC 1.73%), incidence (EAPC 1.39%), and DALYs (EAPC 1.72%). Adolescents aged 15-19 demonstrated the highest incidence rates, while the peak prevalence shifted to women aged 30-34. High SDI regions had the highest age-standardized rates (ASRs), whereas Southeast Asia exhibited the most rapid growth. BAPC models forecast continued increases in PCOS burden, with prevalence projected to reach 77.87 million by 2036, though the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) and age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) are expected to decline. Conclusion: PCOS represents an urgent global health challenge, with rising burdens, especially in middle-income regions. Targeted and equitable interventions are essential to improve early diagnosis, raise public awareness, and mitigate long-term health and socioeconomic consequences.

Indexed as

age-period-cohort modelBayesian age-period-cohort projectionsglobal burden of diseaseincidencepolycystic ovary syndromesocio-demographic index

Identifiers

PMID41127029
PMCPMC12537526

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.