Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41125629›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Compounding future escalation of emissions- and irrigation-induced increases in humid-heat stress.

Yi Yao, Yusuke Satoh, Nicole van Maanen, Sabin Taranu, Jessica Keune, Steven J De Hertog, Seppe Lampe, David M Lawrence, William J Sacks, Yoshihide Wada and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Yi YaoDepartment of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium. yi.yao@vub.be.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2212-2394
Yusuke SatohJapan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6419-7330
Nicole van MaanenInstitute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2599-0042
Sabin TaranuDepartment of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.
Jessica KeuneForecast and Services Department, European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Bonn, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6104-2165
Steven J De HertogDepartment of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.
Seppe LampeDepartment of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.
David M LawrenceNSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2968-3023
William J SacksNSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.
Yoshihide WadaBiological and Environmental Science and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, Saudi Arabia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4770-2539
Agnès DucharneLaboratory 7619 METIS, Sorbonne Université, CNRS, EPHE, IPSL, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6550-3413
Benjamin I CookNASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, USA.
Sonia I SeneviratneInstitute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9528-2917
Laibao LiuDepartment of Geography, The University of Hong Kong (HKU), Hong Kong, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9140-0509
Jonathan R BuzanDepartment of Chemistry and Bioscience, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark.
Jonas JägermeyrNASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, USA.
Wim ThieryDepartment of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5183-6145

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Irrigation has been investigated as an important historical climate forcing, but there is no study exploring its future climatic impacts considering possible changes in both extent and efficiency. Here, we address these issues via developing irrigation efficiency scenarios in line with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), implementing these in the Community Earth System Model, and applying them to generate projections over the period 2015-2074. We project that annual irrigation water withdrawal decreases under SSP1-2.6 (from  ~2100 to  ~1700 km

Identifiers

PMID41125629
PMCPMC12546594

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.