Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41125588›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Climate change is predicted to reduce global belowground ecosystem multifunctionality.

Tiancai Zhou, Jian Sun, Chongchong Ye, Xin Jing, Eryuan Liang, Xuyang Lu, Akira S Mori, Michael E Meadows, Josep Peñuelas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Tiancai ZhouState Key Laboratory of Earth System Resources and Environment of Tibetan Plateau, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Jian SunState Key Laboratory of Earth System Resources and Environment of Tibetan Plateau, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China. sunjian@itpcas.ac.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8765-5015
Chongchong YeSchool of Civil Engineering and Geomatics, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu, China.
Xin JingState Key Laboratory of Herbage Improvement and Grassland Agro-Ecosystems, and College of Pastoral Agriculture Science and Technology, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7146-7180
Eryuan LiangState Key Laboratory of Earth System Resources and Environment of Tibetan Plateau, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8003-4264
Xuyang LuInstitute of Mountain Hazard and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu, China.
Akira S MoriResearch Center for Advanced Science and Technology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8422-1198
Michael E MeadowsSchool of Geography and Oceanographic Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8322-3055
Josep PeñuelasCREAF, Cerdanyola del Valles, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7215-0150

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although climate change is known to abruptly shift ecosystem functions in drylands worldwide, the global response of belowground ecosystem multifunctionality (BEMF) to future climate change remains largely unknown. Herein, we use fifteen indicators associated with key ecosystem functions (e.g., belowground productivity, nutrient pools and cycling) to evaluate global BEMF by averaging, principal component analysis, and single-threshold approaches. Our results reveal marked spatial variation in functionality across Köppen climate biomes, indicating that BEMF is higher in polar and continental biomes compared to dry and tropical biomes. We further identify an abrupt shift in global BEMF at a mean annual temperature (MAT) threshold of approximately 16.4 °C. Globally, temperature and soil pH generate strong negative effects on BEMF in MAT ≤ 16.4 °C regions, whereas precipitation and plant species richness positively dominate the dynamics of BEMF in regions where MAT > 16.4 °C. Importantly, we predict ongoing climate change to result in a 20.8% loss of global BEMF under SSP585 by 2100, particularly in temperate and continental biomes. As future climate change is projected to increase, integrating in situ experiments and Earth system models into BEMF-climate studies is critical to the conservation and sustainability of ecosystem functions.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEcosystemBiodiversityPlantsSoilTemperatureSoil

Identifiers

PMID41125588
PMCPMC12546755

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.