Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41121104›Full record

ArticleMalaria journal2025

The November-2023-March-2024 malaria epidemic in Zanzibar: a spatiotemporal epidemiological analysis.

Frederike Kooiman, Mohamed Haji Ali, Michael Alifrangis, Shija Joseph Shija, Wahida Shirazi Hassan, Karin Linda Schiøler, Fatma Saleh

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Malaria journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Frederike KooimanSchool of Global Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark. f.kooiman@aighd.org.
Mohamed Haji AliZanzibar Malaria Elimination Programme (ZAMEP), Zanzibar, Tanzania.
Michael AlifrangisCentre for Translational Medicine and Parasitology, Department of Immunology and Microbiology, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Shija Joseph ShijaZanzibar Malaria Elimination Programme (ZAMEP), Zanzibar, Tanzania.
Wahida Shirazi HassanZanzibar Malaria Elimination Programme (ZAMEP), Zanzibar, Tanzania.
Karin Linda Schiøler *Global Health Section, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Fatma Saleh *School of Health and Medical Sciences, The State University of Zanzibar, School, Zanzibar, Tanzania.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn Zanzibar, malaria epidemiology has changed within the past 10 years, from focal, near-elimination transmission to recurrent and more widespread outbreaks. The observed changes culminated in a large-scale epidemic between November 2023 and March 2024 including 23,569 confirmed malaria cases.

methodsThis study investigated the epidemiological characteristics of the 21-week outbreak by characterizing the risk profile of affected individuals, identifying malaria hotspots across space and time, and determining the association between malaria incidence and precipitation and temperature.

resultsMales, individuals aged 15-35, urban residents, and those reporting to not sleep under insecticide-treated nets had a higher malaria risk. One significant space-time cluster was identified in the urban southwest of Unguja. The weekly number of malaria cases was significantly associated with the average weekly temperature, with an 8-week lag time.

conclusionsThe results indicate a serious setback in the pursuit of malaria elimination in Zanzibar and call for intensified malaria interventions targeting high-risk populations.

Indexed as

EpidemicsMalariaAdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantMaleMiddle AgedSpatio-Temporal AnalysisTanzaniaTemperatureDisease hotspotDisease outbreaksEpidemiologyMalariaRainRisk factorsTanzaniaTemperatureWeather

Identifiers

PMID41121104
PMCPMC12541999

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.