Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41120998›Full record

Observational studyBMC gastroenterology2025

Evolution of mortality rates due to gastrointestinal bleeding in Peru and its geographic areas, 2003-2022.

Miguel Andrés Ortiz-Alfaro, José Carlos Vizcarra-Díaz, Bryan Rudas-Sulca, Ivan Alegre-Cordero, Yenko Damjanovic-Burga, Julio A Poterico, Jorge Ybaseta-Medina, Luis M Tasayco-Marquez, J Smith Torres-Roman

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Miguel Andrés Ortiz-AlfaroUniversidad Científica del Sur, Lima, Peru.
José Carlos Vizcarra-DíazUniversidad Científica del Sur, Lima, Peru.
Bryan Rudas-SulcaSociedad Cientifica San Fernando, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima, Peru.
Ivan Alegre-CorderoSociedad Cientifica San Fernando, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima, Peru.
Yenko Damjanovic-BurgaSociedad Cientifica San Fernando, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima, Peru.
Julio A PotericoUniversidad de Huanuco, Huanuco, Peru.
Jorge Ybaseta-MedinaUniversidad Nacional San Luis Gonzaga de Ica, Ica, Peru.
Luis M Tasayco-MarquezEscuela de Posgrado, Universidad Tecnológica del Perú, Lima, Peru.
J Smith Torres-RomanUniversidad Científica del Sur, Lima, Peru. jstorresroman@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) is a common cause of emergency medical admissions and represents a significant public health issue due to its high morbidity and mortality. In Peru, information on mortality rates from GIB disaggregated by region and sex is limited. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze GIB mortality in the country between 2003 and 2022 using official data from the Peruvian Ministry of Health (MINSA).

methodsAn observational, ecological, and descriptive time-series study was conducted using MINSA mortality records for gastrointestinal bleeding from 2003 to 2022. Mortality rates were analyzed by sex and geographical region. Trends were assessed using Poisson regression models in Joinpoint software, identifying significant changes over time.

resultsComparing the first (2003-2007) and last (2018-2022) five-year periods, a shift in the geographic burden was observed in coastal departments such as Ica and La Libertad to highland regions like Huancavelica, Puno, and Huánuco, which reported the highest mortality rates in the most recent period for both sexes. Between 2003 and 2022, GIB mortality rates declined significantly among men in Peru, with an annual percent change (APC) of - 2.2%. In contrast, no significant national trend was observed among women. Regional analysis showed a significant decline in the coastal region for both sexes, while no significant trends were detected in the highland or jungle regions. At the departmental level, three departments (Ica, La Libertad, and Piura) showed significant decreases among men, whereas two departments (Arequipa and La Libertad) showed reductions among women. Notably, Madre de Dios experienced a significant increase in GIB mortality among men.

conclusionComparing the first (2003-2007) and last (2018-2022) five-year periods, a shift in the geographic burden was observed in coastal departments such as Ica and La Libertad to highland regions like Huancavelica, Puno, and Huánuco, which reported the highest mortality rates in the most recent period for both sexes.

Indexed as

Gastrointestinal HemorrhageAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMortalityPeruSex FactorsGastrointestinal bleedingMortalityPeru

Identifiers

PMID41120998
PMCPMC12538961

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.