Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41120201›Full record

ArticleRMD open2025

Predictors of a successful glucocorticoid tapering and withdrawal in an inception cohort of patients with lupus nephritis and associations with long-term outcomes and damage accrual.

Ioannis E Michelakis, Alexandros Panagiotopoulos, Eleni Kapsia, John Boletis, Smaragdi Marinaki, Petros P Sfikakis, Maria G Tektonidou

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in RMD open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ioannis E Michelakis *First Department of Propaedeutic Internal Medicine, Joint Academic Rheumatology Program, Laiko Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens School of Medicine, Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-3314-3329
Alexandros Panagiotopoulos *First Department of Propaedeutic Internal Medicine, Joint Academic Rheumatology Program, Laiko Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens School of Medicine, Athens, Greece.
Eleni Kapsia *Department of Nephrology and Renal Transplantation, Laiko Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens School of Medicine, Athens, Greece.
John BoletisDepartment of Nephrology and Renal Transplantation, Laiko Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens School of Medicine, Athens, Greece.
Smaragdi MarinakiDepartment of Nephrology and Renal Transplantation, Laiko Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens School of Medicine, Athens, Greece.
Petros P SfikakisFirst Department of Propaedeutic Internal Medicine, Joint Academic Rheumatology Program, Laiko Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens School of Medicine, Athens, Greece.
Maria G TektonidouFirst Department of Propaedeutic Internal Medicine, Joint Academic Rheumatology Program, Laiko Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens School of Medicine, Athens, Greece mtektonidou@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0003-2238-0975

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe optimal duration of glucocorticoid (GC) treatment in lupus nephritis (LN) remains unclear. We examined predictors of GC tapering and discontinuation (D/C), flares during tapering and post-D/C and long-term outcomes.

methodsWe analysed inception cohort data (1992-2021) from 136 patients with LN (median follow-up: 121 months) and applied regression models to assess predictors of successful GC D/C and long-term outcomes, including clinical/laboratory, histological and treatment characteristics.

resultsMedian time to 7.5 mg/day, 5 mg/day and GC D/C was 9, 12 and 29 months post-diagnosis, respectively. Composite complete renal response (CR) and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI)-2K≤4, sustainedly attained until GC D/C (HR: 1.85, p=0.016), membranous LN (HR: 1.81, p=0.01) and persistent use of hydroxychloroquine (HR: 1.49, p=0.04) were associated with a shorter time to GC D/C. Patients diagnosed after 2010 achieved earlier GC D/C.Shorter time to CR (OR: 1.05, p=0.034) and Lupus Low Disease Activity State at tapering from 7.5 mg/day onwards (OR: 0.23, p=0.046) reduced flare risk during tapering. Definition Of Remission In Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (DORIS) complete remission at D/C (OR: 0.20, p=0.005) and persistent hydroxychloroquine use (OR: 0.28, p=0.031) protected against post-D/C renal flares. Neither higher initial GC dose (>40 mg/day) nor slower GC tapering prevented renal flares. Time to GC D/C (OR: 1.02/month, p=0.04) and flares (OR: 2.08, p=0.036) were associated with damage risk at the end of follow-up.

conclusionSustained CR/SLEDAI-2K≤4, membranous LN and persistent hydroxychloroquine use emerged as main predictors of shorter time to D/C, while DORIS complete remission at D/C and persistent hydroxychloroquine use predicted post-DC flares. Time to GC D/C and flares independently contributed to 10-year damage accrual.

Indexed as

GlucocorticoidsLupus NephritisAdolescentAdultBiopsyDrug TaperingFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGlomerular Filtration RateHumansHydroxychloroquineKidneyMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesSeverity of Illness IndexGlucocorticoidsHydroxychloroquineGlucocorticoidsHydroxychloroquineLupus Nephritis

Identifiers

PMID41120201
PMCPMC12542714

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.