Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41118611›Full record

ArticlePLoS biology2025

The future-focused Proactive Conservation Index highlights unrecognized global priorities for vertebrate conservation.

Gabriel Henrique de Oliveira Caetano, Gopal Murali, Daniel Pincheira-Donoso, Reut Vardi, Lior Greenspoon, Shai Meiri, Uri Roll

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Gabriel Henrique de Oliveira CaetanoUniversité Paris-Saclay, CNRS, AgroParisTech, Ecologie Systématique et Evolution, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.ORCID 0000-0003-4472-5663
Gopal MuraliJacob Blaustein Center for Scientific Cooperation, The Jacob Blaustein Institutes for Desert Research, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Midreshet Ben-Gurion, Israel.
Daniel Pincheira-DonosoSchool of Biological Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom.
Reut VardiSchool of Zoology, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Lior GreenspoonDepartment of Plant and Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot, Israel.
Shai MeiriSchool of Zoology, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Uri RollMitrani Department of Desert Ecology, The Jacob Blaustein Institutes of Desert Research, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Midreshet Ben-Gurion, Israel.

Funding

Alexander and Eva Lester post-doctoral fellowshipIsraeli Science FoundationJacob Blaustein Center for Scientific Cooperation postdoctoral scholarship
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Human-induced environmental pressures are expected to intensify worldwide during the 21st century. Consequently, future-focused tools and approaches to anticipate pressures on biodiversity are key to effectively prioritize conservation actions and supplement existing approaches. Here, we develop a continuous conservation prioritization index, the Proactive Conservation Index (PCI), that integrates projected future extrinsic threats and traits that can predispose species' vulnerability. We used the PCI to assess the conservation priority of 33,560 species of land vertebrates worldwide, compared our results to the extinction risk categories of these species in the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species, and examined spatial and phylogenetic patterns in these species future conservation needs. We found that median PCI scores broadly followed the order expected under the IUCN Red List classification, but varied substantially within each IUCN Red List category. According to the PCI, reptiles will be the group of land vertebrates with highest conservation priority in the future, despite amphibians currently having the highest proportion of threatened species according to the IUCN Red List. The PCI revealed that species in the Near Threatened category will have future conservation needs more similar to species in threatened categories than to species in the Least Concern category. Arid ecoregions, tropical montane forests, and islands showed the highest differences between conservation priorities set using the PCI and the IUCN Red List, indicating possible unrecognized future conservation needs. The proportion of threatened species according to the IUCN Red List was uncorrelated with the protected area coverage of each ecoregion, while the PCI, by design, highlighted currently unprotected ecoregions with sensitive fauna that will have high exposure to threats in the future. We produced a user-friendly web application to display our results and an R package to enable users to calculate PCI scores for any taxon and region, customizing the index according to the severity of predicted threats and importance of species attributes in other systems. Our novel index can help practitioners prioritize fine-scale species conservation actions in light of future threats and different global change scenarios.

Indexed as

Conservation of Natural ResourcesVertebratesAnimalsBiodiversityEndangered SpeciesExtinction, BiologicalHumansPhylogeny

Identifiers

PMID41118611
PMCPMC12539808

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LicenceCC BY
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.