Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41117531›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2026

Estimated Vaccine Effectiveness for Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Related Acute Respiratory Illness in Older Adults: Findings From the First Postlicensure Season.

Sara Y Tartof, Negar Aliabadi, Gabriella Goodwin, Jeff Slezak, Vennis Hong, Bradley Ackerson, Qing Liu, Sally Shaw, Sabrina Welsh, Banshri Kapadia and 11 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Sara Y TartofDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2336-8476
Negar AliabadiUS Medical Affairs, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9264-5089
Gabriella GoodwinDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Jeff SlezakDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6108-9198
Vennis HongDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Bradley AckersonDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0816-7345
Qing LiuData Sciences and Analytics, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA.
Sally ShawDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6553-1772
Sabrina WelshResearch and Development, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0009-0000-7690-0062
Banshri KapadiaDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Brigitte C SpenceDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2386-9967
Joseph A LewnardDivision of Epidemiology and Division of Infectious Diseases and Vaccinology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, California, USA.
Gregg S DavisDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.ORCID 0009-0008-0709-5838
Michael AragonesDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Michael DutroUS Medical Affairs, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0009-0005-7634-2183
Erica ChilsonUS Medical Affairs, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4417-3398
Elisa GonzalezResearch and Development, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA.
Robin HublerResearch and Development, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA.
Luis JodarIndependent Advisor, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1246-530X
Bradford D GessnerEpiVac Consulting, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA.
Elizabeth BegierResearch and Development, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1287-5416

Funding

Pfizer
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRespiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is an important cause of severe respiratory illness among older adults. Previously, we showed that the RSVpreF vaccine (Abrysvo; Pfizer) prevents RSV-related lower respiratory tract disease-related emergency department (ED) visits/hospitalizations in older adults. Here, we evaluate its effectiveness against additional acute respiratory illness (ARI) end points, including severe disease, among high-risk persons.

methodsThis was a retrospective test-negative case-control study of adults aged ≥60 years at Kaiser Permanente Southern California with ARI ED visits/hospitalizations, defined by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision discharge code, from 24 November 2023 to 9 April 2024. Case patients tested positive for RSV. Controls in the primary analysis tested negative for RSV, human metapneumovirus, influenza, and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 and positive for a non-vaccine-preventable pathogen. The exposure was RSVpreF receipt ≥21 days before ARI diagnosis. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) was calculated from adjusted odds ratios via multivariable logistic regression.

resultsOverall, 8965 ARI ED visits/hospitalizations with RSV testing were included; 7.8% of patients were RSV positive, among whom 0.3% had received RSVpreF, compared with 3.6% of controls. The adjusted VE was 92% (95% confidence interval, 64%-98%). We estimated similar VE among patients with risk conditions (92% [95% confidence interval: 65%-98%]), the oldest subgroup (age ≥75 years; 95% [60%-99%]), those with critical outcomes (intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation, respiratory failure, vasopressor use, or death; 90% [16%-99%]), and those with severe disease (defined as ED visit or hospitalization requiring oxygen; 92% [35%-99%]).

conclusionsAmong older adults, RSVpreF demonstrated high VE against RSV-related ARI hospitalization or ED visits, including among high-risk subgroups, and against severe outcomes. RSV vaccination programs can protect groups at the highest risk of severe disease.

Indexed as

acute respiratory illnessolder adultsrespiratory syncytial virusRSVvaccine effectiveness

Identifiers

PMID41117531
PMCPMC13017472

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.