Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41113330›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2025

Modeling the Potential Impact of Mentor Mother Programs on Vertical Transmission of HIV in Kenya.

Horacio A Duarte, James G Carlucci, Nadia A Sam-Agudu, Lisa L Abuogi, Eva A Enns, Jeanette K Birnbaum

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Horacio A DuarteDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6478-097X
James G CarlucciDepartment of Pediatrics, Ryan White Center for Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Global Health, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.
Nadia A Sam-AguduGlobal Pediatrics Program and Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5052-7730
Lisa L AbuogiDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1492-5090
Eva A EnnsDivision of Health Policy and Management, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0693-7358
Jeanette K BirnbaumDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-1830-0582

Funding

Minnesota Population Center Science and Technical CoreP2CHD041023 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI THERESA LOUISE OSYPUK · 2016 to 2026
$4.3M
Spatial Analysis CoreR24HD041023 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI RUGGLES, STEVE · 2001 to 2016
$4.1M
Informing optimal investments along the preconception to postpartum eMTCT continuumDP1HD115428 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI Horacio Adrian Duarte · 2024 to 2026
$1.6M
Developing an enhanced Mentor Mother strategy to improve prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV (PMTCT) outcomesK23HD109056 · NICHD · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI JAMES G CARLUCCI · 2022 to 2026
$772k
Achieving successful treatment outcomes among adolescents and pregnant/postpartum women living with HIV in KenyaK24AI175015 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI Lisa Lynn Abuogi · 2023 to 2026
$762k
Value of Information and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis to Optimize Research and Policy Decisions for HIV Care in Resource Limited SettingsK01AI157841 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI DUARTE, HORACIO ADRIAN · 2021 to 2025
$746k
NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI157841NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI175015NICHD NIH HHS DP1 HD115428NICHD NIH HHS K23 HD109056NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041023NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD041023
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Peer support provided by "mentor mothers" (MM) may increase retention in care for pregnant and breastfeeding women (PBFW) living with HIV, which can lead to improved viral suppression and prevention of vertical transmission (PVT). The impact of MM on PVT may differ among PBFW subpopulations with different baseline risks of antiretroviral therapy (ART) interruption. Method: We used a microsimulation model of HIV progression and care for PBFW living with recently acquired HIV in Kenya to evaluate an MM program that reduced the cumulative risk of ART interruption between initiation of antenatal care and 18 months of postpartum breastfeeding by 40%. We conducted this evaluation in 2 maternal populations: (1) newly positive (NP) pregnant women who initiate ART during antenatal care and are at greater risk of ART interruption and (2) known positive (KP) women who initiate ART prior to conception. We simulated live births, maternal deaths, and vertical transmission with and without MM services to determine the impact of MM. Results: In the absence of MM services, infants acquired HIV at a rate of 609 vs. 459 per 10,000 live births in the NP vs. KP populations. MM services reduced vertical transmission by 15.1% among NP women, compared to a 6.5% reduction among KP women. Conclusions: MM services can reduce vertical transmission among PBFW living with HIV, with greater potential for PVT among NP women compared to KP women. More research evaluating MM programs in these 2 maternal populations will help refine estimates of their PVT impact.

Indexed as

ART interruptionHIVmentor mothermodelingretentionwomen

Identifiers

PMID41113330
PMCPMC12534729

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.