ArticleBiological psychiatry. Cognitive neuroscience and neuroimaging2026
Connectome-Based Predictive Models Optimized for Sleep Differentiate Patients With Depression From Psychiatrically Healthy Controls.
Article in Biological psychiatry. Cognitive neuroscience and neuroimaging, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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- Erratum issuedErratum.2026
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Abstract
backgroundIt is unknown whether brain-based predictive models derived from sleep features are useful for the clinical diagnosis of major depressive disorder (MDD).
methodsUsing resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging data from the curated ABCD (Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development) Study Data Release 3.0, we trained a connectome-based predictive model (CPM) on 35,778 pairwise connections (Pearson's r) from 2349 (237 participants with at least 1 psychiatric disorder and 2112 control participants) participants ages 11 to 12 to predict sleep duration (measured from a Fitbit tracker). Linear regression models were used to compare the predicted values from these CPMs with self-reported sleep duration and diagnostic group status in an independent cohort of 78 participants (57 participants with MDD and 21 control participants) ages 14 to 18.
resultsThe ABCD-based CPM predicted self-reported sleep duration in the independent cohort of participants with MDD (partial r = 0.332, p = .009). Even though self-reported sleep duration did not significantly differ between diagnostic groups (t
conclusionsCPMs trained to predict objective sleep duration are robust and generalizable. Intrinsic functional connectivity differences between clinically depressed and psychiatrically healthy adolescents are detectable by CPMs optimized for sleep prediction, underscoring the shared neural bases between sleep health and depression. Future work will test whether sleep-based CPMs are predictive of clinical course and if they generalize to other disorders beyond depression.
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