ArticleScientific reports2025
The impact of injury and illness on team USA performance outcomes at the Paris 2024 summer olympic games.
Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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5 authors.
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Abstract
The effects of injury and illness on sports performance remain incompletely understood in Olympic athletes. This study investigated whether sustaining an injury or illness at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympic Games affected the probability of winning a medal, which combinations of injuries or illnesses were most impactful on the probability of winning a medal, and how injury or illness influenced athletes' final percentile ranking. Data from injury and illness events among Team USA athletes were merged with final event results and ex ante (i.e., based on forecasts) market-derived probabilities of success. Logistic and general linear regression models were used to assess the impact of injury and illness on outcomes, controlling for the expected probability of success. Results showed no significant effect of injury or illness on the probability of medaling (p = 0.945). However, sustaining an injury or illness was significantly associated with a lower percentile rank finish (p = 0.004), with a stronger effect among athletes with lower initial probabilities of success (p = 0.013). These findings highlight the measurable impact of injury and illness beyond only time loss and reinforce the importance of robust injury and illness prevention strategies for elite athletes.
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